Israel General Elections || 23.03.2021

[Coldstream]

Kann poll:
Likud - 28
Sa'ar - 18
Yamina - 14
Yesh Atid 13
JL 11
Huldai 8
Shas 8
UTJ 7
YB 5
Meretz - 4
B&W - 4

fit to be PM:
Bibi - 41%
Sa'ar - 33%

Sa'ar + Yamina + Huldai + B&W + YA + YB = 62
no need for JL or Meretz here

I'd love to be a fly on the wall in Balfour now...

Given what’s happened to Labour would Huldai be okay to get in to bed with Saar and Bennett? Or is the reason fir Gantz/Labor’s fall more attributable to opposition to Netanyahu himself than opposition to right wing politics? I ask because to an outsider Saar/Bennett seem to be more right wing than Netanyahu and further from Huldai (and his presumed base).

[Coldstream]

Channel 12 poll
Likud 30
Saar 15
YA 14
Yamina 13
JL 10
Shas 8
UTJ 8
YB 7
Meretz 6
B&W 5
Huldai 4

——————————————
Zalicha 2.4% (who are these people?)
Smotric 1.9%
Labour 1.6%
Gesher 0.7%
JH 0.6%
Jewish Power 0.5%
Senior Citizens 0.5%
Telem 0.4%
Shelah 0.4%


Smotric’s gal won the JH primaries yesterday over Bennett’s pal so I guess now Smotric will unite his party with JH and Ben Gvir. One step closer for him to take over the national religious movement.

Huldai is on the edge. He will have to join forces with Labour and Zalicha (and possibly Shelah but he can do without him). Meretz are planning on running alone. Gesher will join Likud.

From a legal point of view it’s pivotal Gantz remains an MK.

I realise Otzma may not have much of a choice, but given they got screwed out of Knesset seats in April 2019 are they going to be that eager to get back in to bed with Jewish Home and Tkuma?

[Coldstream]

Huldai and Michaeli disagree about who should lead the centre left list. Hopefully they work something out:

https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/new-labor-leader-merav-michaeli-removing-labor-from-government-656593

[Coldstream]

Who are the ~2.5% of Israeli voters voting for the New Economic Party?

[Coldstream]

Only 5(?) days till the lists have to be submitted. Aren’t potential mergers (Labour/Huldai/Shelah or some of the far right people) being left pretty late?

[Coldstream]

The polling seems to indicate there’s a non-zero chance Meretz slip below the threshold courtesy of Zalekha.

[Coldstream]

Any ideas why Raam did so well?p relative to the joint list? They got almost as many votes despite theoretically starting as 1/4 of them. Is it Arab voters who want a party that will play more of a role in national politics?