2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Blair]

FWIW there was a lot of chatter in the last week that both sides had the race as level & that Gideon hadn't put Collins away.

I wonder if this was the type of race that needed a really top tier recruit (who might not have existed?) rather than just a generic state leader.

[Bootes Void]

https://twitter.com/DrPaulGosar/status/1324028306916700161?s=19

10000 votes? where? i see 90k deficit.

[OSR stands with Israel]

How is the counting bias in CA this year: Can we still win CA-21, CA-25, CA-39 and CA-48

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

When was the last time there was Democratic President, Republican Senate and Democratic House?

[The Free North]

https://twitter.com/DrPaulGosar/status/1324028306916700161?s=19

What margin is he looking at.

[European Lefty]

Can someone point me to the MI-SEN result showing Peters ahead? I'm still seeing James ahead by like ~7k (with Antrim still to fix its' error).

https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/results/senate
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-senate.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-elections-2020&region=TOP_BANNER&context=election_recirc

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/susancrabtree/status/1324056850807975941?s=19

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Quinnipiac should be delisted from 538.. they had Gideon up 12 points. lmao.

Yeah sure, almost all posters had very bad results there. Doesn't mean you delist them for such a miss.

It's not isolated to that particular result.. their last national poll had Trump at 39%..

When exactly was their last decent election cycle in terms of accuracy ?

[Calthrina950]

Who is ticket splitting for Collins still??

Places like Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont & Montana are notorious for their independent streaks.

Vermont gave Phil Scott a 2-1 majority last night. He did better than Biden, winning every county in the state. However, Montana voted Republican in every statewide race-Bullock, Williams, and Cooney all came close, but all lost, and Trump comfortably held the state.

Ok. I know Montana went GOP this election but look at past elections. This all doesn't boil down to one election. Smh. Too many of you are super reactionary and snippy about crap.

What? I'm very well aware of Montana's prior partisan history, and of course, Tester won comfortably in 2018. I was merely making an observation about this election. I don't understand why you had to take that kind of tone towards me.

Sorry. Others on this thread have gotten under my skin, took what you wrote the wrong way. My apologies.

That's fine. I certainly have gotten heated myself on this forum from time to time.

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

How is the counting bias in CA this year: Can we still win CA-21, CA-25, CA-39 and CA-48

From my discussion with Mike yesterday, Election day ballots are being done last, along with last minute mail ins, so could go either way. I'd say dem sweep. Seems like I'm out of a job.

[OBD]

Hmm, according to NYT there are over 200k ballots left in Georgia.

To overcome Trump's 87k vote lead, Biden needs around 72% of the vote.

This could very well happen, folks.

[Hassan 2022]

FWIW there was a lot of chatter in the last week that both sides had the race as level & that Gideon hadn't put Collins away.

I wonder if this was the type of race that needed a really top tier recruit (who might not have existed?) rather than just a generic state leader.

Ticket-splitting boomer New Englanders never disappoint. /s

[MATTROSE94]

When was the last time there was Democratic President, Republican Senate and Democratic House?

Maybe under Grover Cleveland?

[redjohn]

Hmm, according to NYT there are over 200k ballots left in Georgia.

To overcome Trump's 87k vote lead, Biden needs around 72% of the vote.

This could very well happen, folks.

Do we have a time we should expect the rest of GA in?

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Biden doesnt seem to be doing too good in Allegahny county, is that a concern?

He’s not doing poorly in Allegheny; you are falling for the red mirage.

[OBD]

Hmm, according to NYT there are over 200k ballots left in Georgia.

To overcome Trump's 87k vote lead, Biden needs around 72% of the vote.

This could very well happen, folks.

Do we have a time we should expect the rest of GA in?

I think they said they'd be done counting today.

[Dr. Arch]

https://twitter.com/DrPaulGosar/status/1324028306916700161?s=19

What margin is he looking at.

Simply not true. A good chunk of that is Maricopa.

[Fargobison]

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1324057432943972355

[forsythvoter]

They're mostly from Fulton, DeKalb and Clayton where Biden is getting 72%, 83%, 85% respectively.

Hmm, according to NYT there are over 200k ballots left in Georgia.

To overcome Trump's 87k vote lead, Biden needs around 72% of the vote.

This could very well happen, folks.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Quinnipiac should be delisted from 538.. they had Gideon up 12 points. lmao.

Yeah sure, almost all posters had very bad results there. Doesn't mean you delist them for such a miss.

It's not isolated to that particular result.. their last national poll had Trump at 39%..

When exactly was their last decent election cycle in terms of accuracy ?

Not entire sure. But I know delisting from 538 is a very severe punishment that even polling misses in one or more races can't justify by itself.

[Middle-aged Europe]

What we've known since 2000 has been once again proven today: Having an Electoral College is a real pain in the ass with a highly polarized, almost evenly split electorate.

[BigSerg]

“I was 44,000 votes down and now I’m secretary of state. That took 10 days,” Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs said Wednesday on KTAR News 92.3 FM’s The Mike Broomhead Show."

https://ktar.com/story/3676921/arizonas-top-election-official-cautions-against-rush-to-call-races/

[ProudModerate2]

This is a "Presidential Election Results" thread.
There seems to be too much Senate discussion here.
Can people please post Senate discussion in its appropriate thread and not here.
Thank you.

[TheElectoralBoobyPrize]

When was the last time there was Democratic President, Republican Senate and Democratic House?

I think Grover Cleveland’s first term (1885-1889) was the only time it happened.

[Bootes Void]

https://twitter.com/meganmesserly/status/1324045561931067393