NJ Senate: Bob Menendez
NJ-01: Donald Norcross
NJ-02: Jeff Van Drew
NJ-03: Tom MacArthur
NJ-04: Chris Smith
NJ-05: Josh Gottheimer
NJ-06: Frank Pallone
NJ-07: Leonard Lance
NJ-08: Albio Sires
NJ-09: Bill Pascrell
NJ-10: Donald Payne Jr.
NJ-11: Mikie Sherrill
NJ-12: Bonnie Watson Coleman
I'll admit I am the least confident about NJ-03 and NJ-07. They really could go either way. This just my hunch that both GOP incumbents win by very similar narrow margins.
Man, I would love an 11-1 NJ delegation. It's possible, too. All the pieces are there. Van Drew, Kim, Malinowski, and Sherrill are all very good candidates. If the wave is big enough, it might just happen.
I would too. Seeing the current districts backfire on the Republicans would be wholly satisfying. It's not just possible, it's very possible. I was kind of going with my gut with my ratings but it really might as well be a coin flip.
"Backfire"?
When judging whether a map is a dummymander overall, one must take into account the whole decade, not one election cycle.
