The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

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Gallup: 40-54

40 (-2)
54 (+2)

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Today's Gallup will be entirely post-House voting. Will it be a big (2-3%) drop again?



Rasmussen, May 3-7, compared to May 2-4
LV:
45% (-1)
54% (-/-)

3 of 5 days are post-voting.

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Gallup

Approve: 42% (+2)
Disapprove: 53% (-1)

Unexpected. We'll need though to see more data-points before drawing any conclusions.

[I Won - Get Over It]

Gallup

Approve: 42% (+2)
Disapprove: 53% (-1)

Unexpected. We'll need though to see more data-points before drawing any conclusions.

Hasn't he been stable around that level, given the economy? Remember, Trump hasn't made any major policies and nothing has been signed. This is basically Trump alienating everyone but his core people and some Republicans who haven't the full force of the Trump incompetence.

First time AHCA came out, Trump lost 2-4%.

But probably we see the power of power of the 'clickbait' media.
First time it was about Trump being a looser and awful CBO score.
Now their narrative is about 'How Donald Trump won another unlikely victory' http://edition.cnn.com/2017/05/05/politics/trump-unlikely-victory-health-care/

Even so in fact the AHCA probably got worse after the amendments...

So I still expect Trump to fall a bit. Probably, after new CBO score.

[I Won - Get Over It]

Gallup

40% ( -2)
53% (-/-)



Fixed.

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Ipsos, May 4-8 compared to April 29-May 3

All Adults:
43 (-/-)
52 (-/-)

LV:
48 (+2)
48 (-3)


Rasmussen, MAY 7-9

LV:
47 (+1)
53 (-1)

[I Won - Get Over It]

Gallup

Approve: 42% (+2)
Disapprove: 53% (-1)

Unexpected. We'll need though to see more data-points before drawing any conclusions.

Hasn't he been stable around that level, given the economy? Remember, Trump hasn't made any major policies and nothing has been signed. This is basically Trump alienating everyone but his core people and some Republicans who haven't the full force of the Trump incompetence.

First time AHCA came out, Trump lost 2-4%.

But probably we see the power of power of the 'clickbait' media.
First time it was about Trump being a looser and awful CBO score.
Now their narrative is about 'How Donald Trump won another unlikely victory' http://edition.cnn.com/2017/05/05/politics/trump-unlikely-victory-health-care/

Even so in fact the AHCA probably got worse after the amendments...

So I still expect Trump to fall a bit. Probably, after new CBO score.

Here we go!

[I Won - Get Over It]

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That's very different from the numbers in every other poll:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2018-national-house-race

I believe most of these polls ask which party the respondent would vote for, but the Q poll asks which party they would prefer to see in control.  This may account for some of the difference.

Hm.. Is it not a little bit strange question to ask?

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Beautiful Flawless Rasmussen, May 8-10

LV
48% (+1)
52% (-1)

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Gallup, May 8-10

All Adults
38% (-2)
55% (+2)

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http://triblive.com/politics/politicalheadlines/12285424-74/trumps-approval-rating-soars-among-voters-polled-in-western-pennsylvania

This poll conveniently excludes Allegheny County.

?

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Here is pdf

https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/469804111621898454-f-m-poll-release-may-2017.pdf

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Including Allegheny with NW/SW according to their weights/crosstabs, Trump is at 48/50 in Western PA.

In the remainder of the state, he's at 31/67 by the same measurement.

Trump is at 36/62 statewide in this poll, compared to 42/56 in 2016 exit polling.

Isn't 37?

And they probably still have a bias?

16. As of today, do you feel comfortable with your choice for President or do you wish you could
change how you voted?
Clinton (n=313) 96% Comfortable with your choice
Trump (n=247) 94% Comfortable with your choice
Other (n=49) 76% Comfortable with your choice

Or was it before weighting?

So if one pluggs in the numbers for
17 Which candidate would you vote for if you were voting today?

Trump = 2,970,733 * 94% + 268304 *0.21 *   3% = 2794179
Clinton = 2,926,441 * 96% + 268304 *0.21 * 54% = 2839809

Clinton would win by 45 630 votes if voting would be today (according to this poll)

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Morning Consult, May 9-11 compared to May 4-6
https://morningconsult.com/2017/05/11/partisanship-strong-factor-voters-stance-comey-firing/
RV:
45 (+1)
47 (-1)



SurveyMonkey, May 5-11 compared to April 28 - May 4
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83Vpfes67zfdF9UV2ExYWpMMkU/view
All Adults:
43 (-2)
55 (+3)

RV:
45 (-2)
55 (+4)

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Gallup


40% (-1)
55% (+1)

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NBC/WSJ (Conducted May 11th - May 13th)

All Adults
Approve: 39% (-1)
Disapprove: 54% (-/-)

Compared to APRIL 17-20

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Rassmussen Reports

44% Approve
56% Disapprove

-----------------------------------
27% Strongly Approve
46% who Strongly Disapprove

This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -19

Just 2% over his all time low (42%, April 3).

[I Won - Get Over It]

Ipsos, May 11-15 compared to May 6-10

All Adults:
40 (-1)
55 (+2)

LV:
43 (-2)
53 (+2)