The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[Bandit3 the Worker]

http://triblive.com/politics/politicalheadlines/12285424-74/trumps-approval-rating-soars-among-voters-polled-in-western-pennsylvania

This poll conveniently excludes Allegheny County.

[The_Doctor]

http://triblive.com/politics/politicalheadlines/12285424-74/trumps-approval-rating-soars-among-voters-polled-in-western-pennsylvania

This poll conveniently excludes Allegheny County.

.

It also says hes at 37% statewide.

[I Won - Get Over It]

http://triblive.com/politics/politicalheadlines/12285424-74/trumps-approval-rating-soars-among-voters-polled-in-western-pennsylvania

This poll conveniently excludes Allegheny County.

?

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Here is pdf

https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/469804111621898454-f-m-poll-release-may-2017.pdf

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[Tintrlvr]

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That's very different from the numbers in every other poll:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2018-national-house-race

I believe most of these polls ask which party the respondent would vote for, but the Q poll asks which party they would prefer to see in control.  This may account for some of the difference.

Hm.. Is it not a little bit strange question to ask?

It's always been Q's preferred question away from election season. I think it makes sense; contemplated votes over a year away are super unreliable. They switch to actual voting intention closer to elections.

[Crumpets]

Gallup, May 8-10

All Adults
38% (-2)
55% (+2)

[Ronnie]

Gallup, May 8-10

All Adults
38% (-2)
55% (+2)

Don't worry, in three days, the public will forget everything that happened, like it always does.

[JA]

Gallup, May 8-10

All Adults
38% (-2)
55% (+2)

Don't worry, in three days, the public will forget everything that happened, like it always does.

[pbrower2a]

http://triblive.com/politics/politicalheadlines/12285424-74/trumps-approval-rating-soars-among-voters-polled-in-western-pennsylvania

This poll conveniently excludes Allegheny County.

.

It also says hes at 37% statewide.

It doesn't change a category, so I don't show a new map.

...I see a possible pattern. People who live in big cities may see President Trump as a wealth-grabber: a landlord. Add obnoxiousness to an exploiter, and one gets a villain. On the other side, in a rural area, he's an exploiter of people that one may see as city slickers, and thus fit retribution. So to Hell with Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, Cleveland, and especially New York City, the rural folk think.  

[Hydera]

http://triblive.com/politics/politicalheadlines/12285424-74/trumps-approval-rating-soars-among-voters-polled-in-western-pennsylvania

This poll conveniently excludes Allegheny County.

.

It also says hes at 37% statewide.

It doesn't change a category, so I don't show a new map.

...I see a possible pattern. People who live in big cities may see President Trump as a wealth-grabber: a landlord. Add obnoxiousness to an exploiter, and one gets a villain. On the other side, in a rural area, he's an exploiter of people that one may see as city slickers, and thus fit retribution. So to Hell with Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, Cleveland, and especially New York City, the rural folk think.  

https://www.prri.org/research/white-working-class-attitudes-economy-trade-immigration-election-donald-trump/


You wouldn't be wrong.  Compare even the cultural views of the so called white working class.

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[Adam Griffin]

http://triblive.com/politics/politicalheadlines/12285424-74/trumps-approval-rating-soars-among-voters-polled-in-western-pennsylvania

This poll conveniently excludes Allegheny County.

.

It also says hes at 37% statewide.

Including Allegheny with NW/SW according to their weights/crosstabs, Trump is at 48/50 in Western PA.

In the remainder of the state, he's at 31/67 by the same measurement.

Trump is at 36/62 statewide in this poll, compared to 42/56 in 2016 exit polling.

[I Won - Get Over It]

Including Allegheny with NW/SW according to their weights/crosstabs, Trump is at 48/50 in Western PA.

In the remainder of the state, he's at 31/67 by the same measurement.

Trump is at 36/62 statewide in this poll, compared to 42/56 in 2016 exit polling.

Isn't 37?

And they probably still have a bias?

16. As of today, do you feel comfortable with your choice for President or do you wish you could
change how you voted?
Clinton (n=313) 96% Comfortable with your choice
Trump (n=247) 94% Comfortable with your choice
Other (n=49) 76% Comfortable with your choice

Or was it before weighting?

So if one pluggs in the numbers for
17 Which candidate would you vote for if you were voting today?

Trump = 2,970,733 * 94% + 268304 *0.21 *   3% = 2794179
Clinton = 2,926,441 * 96% + 268304 *0.21 * 54% = 2839809

Clinton would win by 45 630 votes if voting would be today (according to this poll)

[Adam Griffin]

Including Allegheny with NW/SW according to their weights/crosstabs, Trump is at 48/50 in Western PA.

In the remainder of the state, he's at 31/67 by the same measurement.

Trump is at 36/62 statewide in this poll, compared to 42/56 in 2016 exit polling.

Isn't 37?

37 in their topline, but it came out to 36 when calculating it from each region's approval/disapproval. I actually didn't even see the topline result until after I had done it because I went straight to the crosstabs to see about Western PA.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Trump crashes in Rasmussen.

(5/12/17)

Approve: 45% (-3)
Dissaprove: 55% (+3)

-10

Strongly Approve: 27% (-1)
Strongly Dissaprove: 46% (+3)

-19

[pbrower2a]

Trump crashes in Rasmussen.

(5/12/17)

Approve: 45% (-3)
Dissaprove: 55% (+3)

-10

Strongly Approve: 27% (-1)
Strongly Dissaprove: 46% (+3)

-19

We shall soon be able to conclude whether the Comey firing has anything to do with this. 

[Hindsight was 2020]

Trump crashes in Rasmussen.

(5/12/17)

Approve: 45% (-3)
Dissaprove: 55% (+3)

-10

Strongly Approve: 27% (-1)
Strongly Dissaprove: 46% (+3)

-19

Firing Comey backfired

[Gass3268]

Rassy is junk regardless what it says.

[heatcharger]

Sooner poll of Oklahoma:

57% Favorable
36% Unfavorable

Meanwhile, Mary Fallin is deeply underwater at 31/61.

[Doimper]

Sooner poll of Oklahoma:

57% Favorable
36% Unfavorable

Meanwhile, Mary Fallin is deeply underwater at 31/61.

What has Fallin done? That's approaching Brownback territory, but I haven't heard of any widely publicized failures of hers.

[Dr. Arch]

Sooner poll of Oklahoma:

57% Favorable
36% Unfavorable

Meanwhile, Mary Fallin is deeply underwater at 31/61.

What has Fallin done? That's approaching Brownback territory, but I haven't heard of any widely publicized failures of hers.

Conservatived the state to oblivion, just like Kansas.

[Virginiá]

Gallup (May 11th)

41% Approve (+3)
54% Disapprove (-1)

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Gallup (May 11th)

41% Approve (+3)
54% Disapprove (-1)

I fail to see how anyone could honestly be liking what he is doing.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup (May 11th)

41% Approve (+3)
54% Disapprove (-1)

I fail to see how anyone could honestly be liking what he is doing.

There are people (I know one) who still approved of Nixon and felt he was unfairly hounded from office.

[Wiz in Wis]

Gallup (May 11th)

41% Approve (+3)
54% Disapprove (-1)

I fail to see how anyone could honestly be liking what he is doing.

There are people (I know one) who still approved of Nixon and felt he was unfairly hounded from office.

Don't freak out about 1 day movements... Watergate occurred over 2 years, Bush's approval dip took months after Katrina... etc

[I Won - Get Over It]

Morning Consult, May 9-11 compared to May 4-6
https://morningconsult.com/2017/05/11/partisanship-strong-factor-voters-stance-comey-firing/
RV:
45 (+1)
47 (-1)



SurveyMonkey, May 5-11 compared to April 28 - May 4
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83Vpfes67zfdF9UV2ExYWpMMkU/view
All Adults:
43 (-2)
55 (+3)

RV:
45 (-2)
55 (+4)

[Middle-aged Europe]

Gallup (May 11th)

41% Approve (+3)
54% Disapprove (-1)

I fail to see how anyone could honestly be liking what he is doing.

In firing Comey like a BOSS he proved his sexual prowess to the American people. Women want him, men want to be him.