OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance

[kwabbit]

I wonder if Chabot would run, he might be too old. Better to snag an easy senate seat than fight trends in Cincinnati, although his house seat will probably be shored up. If the OH GOP decides to cede the Cincinnati seat, then Chabot could take a shot. If he does, I think he would be a strong candidate.

[kwabbit]

This is so dumb
https://mobile.twitter.com/JDVance1/status/1513241867726512133?cxt=HHwWioCzkcLdj...

Where's the lie?

We knew who the winners were in 2008 and 2012 a few hours before polls closed . It’s just that every other election since 2000 has had the tipping point state be decided by 2.5 points or less and half of them by under a point .

2012 had a little intrigue. 2016 and 2020 were instant classics in terms of entertainment and suspense.

[kwabbit]

What's the county map looking like here?  Mandel, Vance, and Dolan may all win counties.

I think Dolan takes Cuyahoga, Delaware, Franklin, and maybe Hamilton counties. Mandel might take traditionally conservative Western Ohio. Vance takes the rest.

[kwabbit]

Both candidates did pretty well in the debate IMO. Vance is a better speaker than Ryan, but Ryan is better aligned with the electorate. Vance didn’t come across as that extreme. Even on abortion, his position wasn’t extreme enough to be easily turned into a soundbite.