2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 630021 times)
Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« on: November 03, 2020, 02:37:34 PM »
Quote from: Anti-Doomer Activist darthpi on November 03, 2020, 02:18:02 PM
Quote from: BudgieForce on November 03, 2020, 02:16:11 PM
Quote from: Dr. RI, Trustbuster on November 03, 2020, 02:15:11 PM
Quote from: Dr. RI, Trustbuster on November 03, 2020, 12:57:36 PM
Guam update (61% partially reporting, 14k total votes): margin stays pretty consistent since last update at Biden 55.7, Trump 41.5.

Guam update (73% partially reporting, 19k total votes): marginal improvement for Biden to 55.8, Trump at 41.4.

Appears Guam has a similar pro-incumbent bias that Hawaii also has.

I love that memes that were born here, what, 16 years ago are still going strong.

The memes deserve their accolades Smiley
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 03:13:53 PM »
Quote from: 86 45 on November 03, 2020, 03:12:20 PM
Quote from: Bootes Void on November 03, 2020, 03:10:31 PM
First batch of exit polls come at 5, so look out for that
What timezone is this?

Eastern. Times are always Eastern here it seems.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 03:27:28 PM »
Quote from: Anti-Doomer Activist darthpi on November 03, 2020, 03:23:00 PM
I'm not saying it's over, but I am saying I need to go get that Woodbury quote ready.

I thought that was ReapSow's job!

Quote from: Make PA Blue Again! on November 03, 2020, 03:23:35 PM
PA Dems are saying Montgomery County (Clinton +20) could hit 90% turnout. That would be up from 77% in 2016.

omg
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 03:33:42 PM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 03, 2020, 03:30:04 PM
Ever since 2016 it's the same electorate showing up and the suburbs are dominating it.  

It's the "Never Again!" electorate.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2020, 03:53:08 PM »
Quote from: BudgieForce on November 03, 2020, 03:51:40 PM
Quote from: Chocolate Thunder on November 03, 2020, 03:50:50 PM
Quote from: Young Conservative on November 03, 2020, 03:49:22 PM
I think people need to be careful about Florida. It is likely there will be a surge from 5-7 in voting.

Do we have any information on who will vote in those times?

I feel like conventional wisdom is that democrats vote late.


I assume the idea is that Republican retirees vote in the morning and younger, more Democratic demographics vote later.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 04:16:52 PM »
Quote from: MAGugh on November 03, 2020, 04:15:06 PM
Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on November 03, 2020, 04:13:32 PM
Quote from: Horsemask on November 03, 2020, 04:11:18 PM


FF Phil Scott

FF, but he just lost his 2022 primary

Hot take: No.

I think, at least in Vermont and some other deep Dem states, you'll see the State GOPs move toward a more moderate position if Trump loses.

Does VT have open primaries? Dems crossing over could probably save him.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2020, 06:19:16 PM »
OMG IT’S HAPPENING
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2020, 06:24:23 PM »
Quote from: EliteLX on November 03, 2020, 06:22:53 PM
Holy overreactions in this thread lol

It’s the Atlas way.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2020, 06:30:15 PM »
Quote from: Storr on November 03, 2020, 06:26:09 PM
Quote from: Splash on November 03, 2020, 06:25:28 PM
Biden winning Anderson? That has to be an error, right?
Only 18% is in there.

Funnily enough, the current results from that county almost exactly match its party registration numbers, lol.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2020, 06:34:54 PM »
Anderson and Jessamine both have areas with strongly “suburban” character. This could get intense.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2020, 07:12:17 PM »
Trump leading by 12 votes in Monroe County, FL. It was the only Nelson-DeSantis county in the state in 2018.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2020, 07:15:37 PM »
Quote from: Storr on November 03, 2020, 07:12:41 PM
Florida results are comin' in hot and fast.

So hot and so fun!
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2020, 07:32:45 PM »
Biden already matching Clinton in raw votes in Palm Beach County, with 76% in.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2020, 07:42:20 PM »
Quote from: Catalyst138 on November 03, 2020, 07:41:13 PM
It's obviously Bernie and AOC's fault even though they fully threw their support behind Biden. /s

Would have been better in Florida if they didn't.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2020, 07:56:26 PM »
Quote from: President Pericles on November 03, 2020, 07:55:24 PM
OH for Biden and FL for Trump would be crazy.

Return to 2012, I guess.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2020, 09:39:51 PM »
Quote from: Storr on November 03, 2020, 09:37:45 PM
Quote from: (CT) The Free North on November 03, 2020, 09:35:57 PM
North Carolina is down to 50k on DDHQ. Tillis down 20k, he'll win, I think Trump will too. Not a lot of vote left, but its been overwhelmingly Trump.
It has 99% in though, which is significant. I'll be so happy if Biden wins NC.

What's 99%? NYT is showing North Carolina as 80% in.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2020, 09:45:25 PM »
Urban counties in Ohio all under 60% reported. Rurals seem more reported.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2020, 10:06:05 PM »
North Carolina seemingly hinges entirely on Franklin and Union now.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2020, 10:11:15 PM »
Quote from: Storr on November 03, 2020, 10:07:58 PM
Quote from: EastOfEden on November 03, 2020, 10:06:05 PM
North Carolina seemingly hinges entirely on Franklin and Union now.
If that's the case  then Trump is going to win, Union has a lot more people than Franklin and regularly votes >70% Republican.

Union has suburban Charlotte.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #19 on: November 03, 2020, 10:25:06 PM »
Urban areas still underreported in Ohio. Probably a Trump win at this point, but not by as much as is shown currently.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2020, 10:31:28 PM »
So, Senate races. Bullock, Greenfield, Ossoff, Cunningham.

We need Gideon + one of the above.


Otherwise, it's the ultimate showdown to see whether American democracy survives - Warnock vs. ? runoff.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #21 on: November 03, 2020, 10:36:48 PM »
Quote from: Storr on November 03, 2020, 10:33:22 PM
Quote from: EastOfEden on November 03, 2020, 10:31:28 PM
So, Senate races. Bullock, Greenfield, Ossoff, Cunningham.

We need Gideon + one of the above.


Otherwise, it's the ultimate showdown to see whether American democracy survives - Warnock vs. ? runoff.

Kelly?

Based on how Arizona looks right now, Kelly should be fine. Knock on wood.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #22 on: November 03, 2020, 10:39:11 PM »
You know, if this is truly a repeat of 2018, I'd like to draw your attention to Montana...

Missoula County is showing a big leftward swing. 92% in for that county.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #23 on: November 03, 2020, 10:42:28 PM »
Majority of rural Ohio is >90% reporting. Urban counties all around 70%.

Quote from: yfnlucci on November 03, 2020, 10:42:04 PM
what was obama able to do in fl that biden and clinton weren't?

Win WWC and also Cubans.

Clinton and Biden each got one but not the other.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #24 on: November 03, 2020, 10:44:54 PM »
All eyes on Orange and Guilford.
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