VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)

[PragmaticPopulist]

Before today, I felt like the race was becoming a pure tossup, but I think Northam has gotten back on track some. His lead appears to be stabilizing, but a Gillespie win isn't out of the question.

I've been thinking that there is reason to believe that the polls are underestimating Northam. As we learned from the polls last year, enthusiasm is difficult to accurately poll, and the enthusiasm right now seems to be behind Northam more than Gillespie.

[PragmaticPopulist]

Fairfax too:

Vote Fairfax City @VoteFairfaxCity
As of 8 a.m. 1,365 voters have marked their ballots in today's election. With absentee, that's more than 15.2% #Election2017

https://twitter.com/votefairfaxcity/status/927885831221719040

I sense a trend...

Keep in mind that Fairfax City is tiny in comparison to the county.

I'm interested in what the turnout in Tidewater looks like. The race is almost certainly over if Northam does unusually well there for a Democrat.

[PragmaticPopulist]

My guess is that turnout will rise in the evening as people start coming home from work. No real surprises in the turnout reports so far.

[PragmaticPopulist]

The Trump gloating tomorrow will be insufferable.

Dude stop it you're seriously overacting

[PragmaticPopulist]

Isn't the regular Atlas meltdown scheduled for 8 or 9pm? Why so early?

I think people are still weary from the election last year. But this thread is getting ridiculous.

[PragmaticPopulist]

I'm surprised at how close Chesterfield is with most precincts reporting.

[PragmaticPopulist]

I'm just loving Lynchburg going for Northam at the moment.  Beautiful.

Jerry Falwell is rolling in his grave.

[PragmaticPopulist]

Northam ahead in Chesterfield by a hair now.

[PragmaticPopulist]

Brucer Rauner, Charlie Baker, and Larry Hogan are probably quaking in their boots right now, especially Bruce.

Baker is popular in MA....he is safe.

Yea come on. He has a 70% approval rating and is fairly popular. He shouldn't have much worrying for 2018.

No Republican in a Clinton state is safe, even in a gubernatorial race. I definitely think he's still favored, though.

MD is very inelastic. Hogan may have a small advantage, but could easily be the next Ehrlich.