Is it too late for Trump to reverse his crashing poll numbers?
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  Is it too late for Trump to reverse his crashing poll numbers?
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Author Topic: Is it too late for Trump to reverse his crashing poll numbers?  (Read 2869 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
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« on: June 19, 2016, 06:50:20 PM »

With his favorability and poll numbers free falling, is it getting too late to reverse these numbers, if not what can he do to reverse this?



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Nyvin
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« Reply #1 on: June 19, 2016, 06:56:40 PM »

Extremely unlikely.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #2 on: June 19, 2016, 06:58:29 PM »

No, if Trump adds Scott Baio to the ticket his numbers with the ladies will soar.  Even NH women will stop being angry and will swoon for Chaci.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #3 on: June 19, 2016, 07:00:04 PM »

While I don't think his unfavorable numbers are gonna get much better, it's possible he can pull Hillary's lead back to 1 or 2 points if the economy sours, or just anything that makes Obama and Hillary look bad.
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LLR
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« Reply #4 on: June 19, 2016, 07:00:25 PM »

It's June. Of course he can
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #5 on: June 19, 2016, 07:35:04 PM »

No, of course he can turn things around. But honestly, how likely is it that he's going to give enough of a sh**t about changing his rhetoric and tone to a more electable and inclusive flavor? Trump is going to keep being Trump. As the general election nears closer, I don't see his 'unpredictable' behavior being a positive for him, the Democrats already have an arsenal against him of the past year and he (and his team) is so ignorant about how to run a campaign that he's internally hurting himself.
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Wells
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« Reply #6 on: June 19, 2016, 07:42:42 PM »

It's not too late, but if Trump doesn't change his behavior, it will soon be. Unless there's a recession or something.
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SillyAmerican
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« Reply #7 on: June 19, 2016, 08:37:05 PM »

My calendar says it's mid June; what is yours telling you?
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #8 on: June 19, 2016, 08:55:35 PM »

"Fifty-five percent of the 948 registered voters interviewed in the poll said they preferred to see Mr. Dukakis win the 1988 Presidential election, while 38 percent said they preferred to see Mr. Bush win. The poll had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points."

http://www.nytimes.com/1988/07/26/us/dukakis-lead-widens-according-to-new-poll.html
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Virginiá
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« Reply #9 on: June 19, 2016, 09:02:55 PM »
« Edited: June 19, 2016, 09:04:41 PM by Virginia »

It's not too late, and Trump will surely get more chances, but the question is - Can he even make use of them? He's on track to waste the entire month of June doing basically nothing but making himself look bad. An entire freakin month of nothing but negatives.

How is he really supposed to begin fighting back with a bare bones campaign and such little money? So far, he can't even be bothered to pick up the phone and ask for some money. The utter failure of his campaign/infrastructure seems unprecedented.

Eventually it will get to the point where the only thing that can save Trump is the FBI.
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Mallow
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« Reply #10 on: June 19, 2016, 09:07:27 PM »

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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: June 19, 2016, 09:09:19 PM »

No, but it's getting close.
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Suck my caulk
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« Reply #12 on: June 19, 2016, 09:15:54 PM »

Absolutely not. Clinton is a terrible candidate who does not excite a large percentage of her base; meanwhile, Trump excites the 25-40% who have been with him since the beginning, plus the other 40-50% of the Party who is galvanized against Clinton. This election could swing in Trump's favor at any moment. If Democrats cared enough to defeat Trump, they would have nominated Bernie Sanders. That said, demographics still favor Clinton and it is entirely possible that she will ultimately succeed in November; in fact, I put her chances at success around 60%.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #13 on: June 19, 2016, 09:24:05 PM »

No, but unlikely.
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Wells
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« Reply #14 on: June 19, 2016, 09:24:21 PM »

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Xing
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« Reply #15 on: June 19, 2016, 09:25:55 PM »

Of course it's possible for him to recover completely. Is it likely? Not exactly.
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Mallow
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« Reply #16 on: June 19, 2016, 09:30:07 PM »


Of course, the Democratic candidate support is probably lower, too.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #17 on: June 19, 2016, 09:43:43 PM »

No. Trump cannot reverse his awfulness. All he can do is hope that fate hands him the election, either by destroying Clinton until she polls even worse than he does, or that some other catastrophe brings confidence in the establishment down to a lower level than the public's view of Trump. (I wouldn't be at all surprised if he tries to engineer a ham-handed re-enactment of something like the Iran hostage crisis. Probably involving hiring budget "mercenaries" from the pages of Gun & Ammo.)
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Hermit For Peace
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« Reply #18 on: June 19, 2016, 09:52:28 PM »


Trump has convinced himself that he doesn't need the Republican leaders to help him win. He's going to win and that's just how it is. He's Trump! And he doesn't need to spend much money for advertising he says, but if he ends up needing money then he'll spend his own. I just read that (again).

So what I'm saying is that Trump is unlikely to change; he is what he is. Thus, his poll numbers are also unlikely to change (for the better)....they are what they are.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #19 on: June 19, 2016, 10:43:56 PM »

he's doing better than HW Bush or Truman at equivalent points to the campaign. Every other successful presidential candidate was in better shape. Even the peanut farmer.
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #20 on: June 19, 2016, 10:47:10 PM »

He's not as far behind as folks make him out to be.  He's much closer to Clinton than George McGovern was to Nixon at this time, granting that the electorate was more elastic then as well.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #21 on: June 19, 2016, 11:57:18 PM »

No, obviously; but its not like he is doing much to change momentum...
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #22 on: June 20, 2016, 12:19:11 AM »

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Which pretty much says everything about his campaign when he's drawing comparisons to McGovern.
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Wells
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« Reply #23 on: June 20, 2016, 06:22:28 AM »


June 16, 2016: Clinton 44.9
June 16, 2012: Obama 45.7
June 16, 2008: Obama 45.9
June 16, 2004: Kerry 43.7

Couldn't find a graph to compare over time, so I just compared numbers on the same day. There's not much difference - she's below both of Obama's numbers by 1% or less and is beating Kerry by 1.2%.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #24 on: June 20, 2016, 06:44:35 AM »

It's not over yet (it's only June) but it's looking bad. These are also 2 fairly known quantities by now (especially Clinton). So it's hard to see her crash and burn the way say Dukakis did.
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