OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance
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Author Topic: OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance  (Read 95233 times)
JMT
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« on: January 25, 2021, 10:36:26 AM »
« edited: July 08, 2022, 12:12:42 PM by Brittain33 »
I didn’t see a mega thread for Ohio Senate. Please feel free to merge if I missed it.

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Skye
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« Reply #1 on: January 25, 2021, 10:36:29 AM »


Now this is a surprising move.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #2 on: January 25, 2021, 10:37:50 AM »
Surprising, since he's for sure safe in the GE. Possible this increases the chance for him to vote for Trump conviction.

Let's just hope Jim Jordan won't replace him.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #3 on: January 25, 2021, 10:38:04 AM »
Moves from safe R to very likely R.
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VAR
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« Reply #4 on: January 25, 2021, 10:38:50 AM »
Still Titanium R.
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #5 on: January 25, 2021, 10:40:16 AM »

Calling this race "titanium R" is a complete misuse of the term. It's likely R.
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If my soul was made of stone
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« Reply #6 on: January 25, 2021, 10:40:18 AM »
Didn't see this coming at all. Hoping this doesn't embolden Dem donors to burn piles of money Joker-style on what is still most likely an unwinnable race, but they probably will anyway if only because people probably still see Ohio as The Swing State™. Maybe if Jim Jordan gets the nomination it could be a fair bit tighter than Portman's blowouts, but it still won't amount to anything.
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: January 25, 2021, 10:40:34 AM »
Safe R to Safe R, but the margin could be a bit smaller for Republicans now.
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Lambsbread
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« Reply #8 on: January 25, 2021, 10:41:54 AM »
My first reaction was delight. Even if this seat seems out of our hands, we could make a play and try to at least make a dent in the margin.

Then I realized that this means Jim Jordan is probably going to run. I want to die.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #9 on: January 25, 2021, 10:43:42 AM »
Not sure what to make of this. On the one hand, this seat moves from unwinnable to winnable in a perfect storm, but on the other hand, most Republicans are a downgrade from Portman.
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VAR
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« Reply #10 on: January 25, 2021, 10:45:33 AM »
Quote from: Diogenes of Bethesda on January 25, 2021, 10:40:16 AM

Calling this race "titanium R" is a complete misuse of the term. It's likely R.

Even if 2022 is a decent midterm for Democrats, I'd still expect Democrats to lose *some* ground in the Midwest. Even if it's not "Titanium R", it's Safe R.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #11 on: January 25, 2021, 10:45:53 AM »
Both Ohio and Georgia will flip.
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #12 on: January 25, 2021, 10:47:02 AM »
This sucks , as he was one of the best senators
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JMT
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« Reply #13 on: January 25, 2021, 10:47:08 AM »
This news probably helps Mike DeWine. Some of the folks considering a run against DeWine in the primary (Jim Jordan, Jim Renacci etc.) may jump into an open senate race rather than running against an incumbent in the gubernatorial primary.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #14 on: January 25, 2021, 10:47:26 AM »
Hm, wondering if he'll vote to convict now.
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VAR
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« Reply #15 on: January 25, 2021, 10:47:55 AM »

imo GA will be a GA-SEN 2008 runoff redux and OH will be an OH-SEN 2006 redux
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andjey
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« Reply #16 on: January 25, 2021, 10:49:17 AM »
In my opinion, this is a signal that he will vote for the conviction  of Trump. For Democrats, that doesn't change anything unless Jim Jordan becomes a Republican nominee

Early rating
With Portman: Safe R
Without Portman: Likely R
Without Portman, Jordan is R nominee: Tilt / Lean R
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Pollster
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« Reply #17 on: January 25, 2021, 10:49:59 AM »
Wonder if the seat being open gets Tim Ryan to finally pull the trigger on a statewide run.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #18 on: January 25, 2021, 10:53:16 AM »
FYCK ANOTHER OPEN SEAT

I’ve been writing to Grassley's office and BEGGING him not to retire since November, and now this.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #19 on: January 25, 2021, 10:55:53 AM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on January 25, 2021, 10:43:42 AM
Not sure what to make of this. On the one hand, this seat moves from unwinnable to winnable in a perfect storm, but on the other hand, most Republicans are a downgrade from Portman.

When has Portman ever voted with Dems on anything of significance?
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WD
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« Reply #20 on: January 25, 2021, 10:56:16 AM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on January 25, 2021, 10:53:16 AM
FYCK ANOTHER OPEN SEAT

I’ve been writing to Grassley's office and BEGGING him not to retire since November, and now this.

i think dems might get 60 seats at this rate. must be tough to be a republican these day, huh
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Xing
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« Reply #21 on: January 25, 2021, 10:56:33 AM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on January 25, 2021, 10:53:16 AM
FYCK ANOTHER OPEN SEAT

I’ve been writing to Grassley's office and BEGGING him not to retire since November, and now this.

Even Grassley wouldn’t be able to hold that seat against Senator-elect Abby Purple heart, though.
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JMT
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« Reply #22 on: January 25, 2021, 10:57:33 AM »
Also, I wonder what Jon Husted will do? I think he’d have a tough time in the primary running for senate next year. My guess is that he runs for re-election on a ticket with DeWine, and will try to run for Governor in 2026.
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Pollster
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« Reply #23 on: January 25, 2021, 10:58:02 AM »
How much money will McConnell dump into this primary to stop Jim Jordan?
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Skye
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« Reply #24 on: January 25, 2021, 10:58:14 AM »
Cook already downgrading the race all the way to Lean R:



A bit questionable, but maybe they think if, say, a candidate like Jim Jordan wins the primary it could be more competitive than it should.

Quote from: MT Treasurer on January 25, 2021, 10:53:16 AM
FYCK ANOTHER OPEN SEAT

I’ve been writing to Grassley's office and BEGGING him not to retire since November, and now this.

I'd pay to see those messages.
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