2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 621420 times)
wbrocks67
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« Reply #50 on: November 03, 2020, 08:08:17 PM »
Quote from: Gren on November 03, 2020, 08:06:56 PM
What is happening in Virginia? 29% in and Trump is up in Loudoun. It's just election-day vote?

isn't this just like 2016 and other years where VA is really red to begin with and then the blue votes get dumped in later
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #51 on: November 03, 2020, 08:08:58 PM »

is this sarcasm
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #52 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:54 PM »
Quote from: Storr on November 03, 2020, 08:11:23 PM
Quote from: Statilius the Epicurean on November 03, 2020, 08:10:33 PM
Looks like there hasn't been as great a suburban swing towards Biden as Democrats hoped.
What???

Isn't Biden tied in the Indy suburbs? Where Trump won 20?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #53 on: November 03, 2020, 08:13:55 PM »
Normally this would be frustrating but considering we have no idea in literally every state what is in and what is out in terms of e-day, early vote, and mail makes things even more confusing.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #54 on: November 03, 2020, 08:19:11 PM »
Are we sure the TX #s are actually the actual % reporting
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #55 on: November 03, 2020, 08:25:32 PM »
It appears Biden is doing way better with whites everywhere, whereas the Cuban vote screwed him in FL.

Also, GA has 17% in. Don't know why people are freaking out.

Maybe the CNN exit poll was right, it had Trump approval at 54/45. By that, they also had Georgia at Biden +2.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #56 on: November 03, 2020, 08:34:24 PM »
isn't this about the time in 2018 when everyone was dooming there was no blue wave
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #57 on: November 03, 2020, 08:48:06 PM »
Are the blue counties in VA gonna report or...

I honestly can't tell what is happening. Are blue areas just not reporting? These results are just very weird and we have no idea what is out.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #58 on: November 03, 2020, 08:49:20 PM »
Quote from: Clarko95 on November 03, 2020, 08:44:10 PM
Seriously does anyone actually know how many mail-in votes there are, none of these "reporting" numbers make sense

All of these states, it's hard to tell what is and what's out. I feel like some of the totals could severely be skewed.

However, in NC, theres nearly 4 million votes and Biden is up by 6. That's nearly the entire EV. How much of Election Day vote could there be to overpower that when they were already at 100% of 2016 turnout?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #59 on: November 03, 2020, 08:54:41 PM »
Again though: is this not the point in 2018 when people said no blue wave and then...?

FL appears to still be an isolated incident?

Like in OH, was Hillary still up double digits with 50% of the vote in?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #60 on: November 03, 2020, 08:57:02 PM »
Well if we're going by the exit polls, they had Biden doing very well in Michigan, Minnesota, New hampshire, etc., but had Trump doing well in FL.

Is it quite possible that a lot of vote is still out in some of these states?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #61 on: November 03, 2020, 09:08:51 PM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 03, 2020, 09:02:08 PM
New Mexico was a poll closing time win for Biden.

Hm makes me feel better about AZ and NV
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #62 on: November 03, 2020, 09:15:35 PM »
Things are so hard to see right now - OH and NC who knows what is left, while GA has so much left.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #63 on: November 03, 2020, 09:22:56 PM »
Biden doing really well in Colorado. Really feels like Whites might be the reason he wins.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #64 on: November 03, 2020, 09:24:31 PM »
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on November 03, 2020, 09:22:50 PM
Supposedly CNN have retracted their Virginia call..?

This is how VA always is. Theres only 40% in and it seems like all of the e-day vote is in right now with no EV.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #65 on: November 03, 2020, 09:26:01 PM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on November 03, 2020, 09:19:13 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 03, 2020, 09:14:55 PM
Biden didn’t take „Latinos for granted“.

It’s more a combination of Latinos not wanting more of their folk coming into the US illegally when they themselves came often legally and stick to the rules, buying more and more into Trumps tough immigration rhetoric. Also, many Latinos are machos.

Biden took Latinos for granted. His outreach was consistently terrible during the primaries and we've little reason to believe that changed during the GE. Even in FL where they were much less drawn to Sanders, Bloomberg polled well (often better than Biden).

If Cubans in FL were easily swayed by Trump calling *Joe Biden* a socialist, there was no saving them.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #66 on: November 03, 2020, 09:27:13 PM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 03, 2020, 09:26:05 PM
The NYTimes map now has totally different numbers for Alleghany County PA.

Did Russians hack all these systems?

Some of these results are so whacky I don't even know what to think.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #67 on: November 03, 2020, 09:28:22 PM »
If TX is within 2-3 pts, that makes me think that AZ/NV/NM are fine for Biden...
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #68 on: November 03, 2020, 09:31:23 PM »
50% in Kansas and Biden still up. Even if the rest of the vote is totally Trump, that seems a far cry from Trump's +20...?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #69 on: November 03, 2020, 09:32:33 PM »

Biden doing extraordinary with Whites but terrible with Hispanics? Wow.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #70 on: November 03, 2020, 10:02:36 PM »
PA is wild right now. Trump is up 4 with current returns but all downballot Dems are crushing it, all winnning by at least 5. Almost makes you think something is off with that Trump #...
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #71 on: November 03, 2020, 10:04:25 PM »
Given the IA #s, and CO #s, and even KS #s, it's clear the White revolt is happening for Biden at least.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #72 on: November 03, 2020, 10:05:11 PM »
Quote from: xavier110 on November 03, 2020, 10:04:25 PM

Jesus take the wheel. Kelly+11. Good luck folks

We shall see.

Isnt that great for Biden and Kelly?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #73 on: November 03, 2020, 10:08:52 PM »
WOW ARIZONA. Biden +11 with 69%?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #74 on: November 03, 2020, 10:10:58 PM »

Well FL is still waiting for absentees isnt? That could bring it closer to like Biden -2
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