The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Tender Branson]

FOX News Poll:

55% Approve
41% Disapprove

The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The poll is based on live telephone interviews with a national sample of 910 registered voters, and was conducted May 15-17, 2011 in the evenings.

http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/051811_bin_Laden_web.pdf

New Jersey (Monmouth)

Adults:

60% Approve, 35% Disapprove

Registered Voters:

60% Approve, 36% Disapprove

The Monmouth University/NJ Press Media Poll was conducted by telephone with 807 New Jersey adults from May 12 to 16, 2011. This sample has a margin of error of + 3.5 percent. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute and originally published by the NJ Press Media newspaper group (Asbury Park Press, Courier-Post, Courier News, Daily Journal, Daily Record, and Home News Tribune).

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling/admin/polls/MUP39_2.pdf

[Tender Branson]

Ohio (Quinnipiac)

49% Approve
45% Disapprove

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... If the 2012 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for Barack Obama the Democratic candidate, or for the Republican candidate?

41% Obama
39% Republican

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

47% Yes
47% No

From May 10 - 16, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,379 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1602

[Tender Branson]

New York (Siena)

How would you rate the job that Barack Obama is doing as President? Would you rate it excellent, good, fair, or poor?

53% Excellent/Good
47% Fair/Poor

I'm going to read a series of names of people and institutions in public life and I'd like you to tell me whether you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of each person or institution I name: Barack Obama

62% Favorable
36% Unfavorable

Barack Obama is running for re-election as President in 2012. I know it's a ways off, but as things stand now, would you vote to re-elect him or would you prefer someone else?

54% Re-elect Obama
39% Prefer someone else

Siena College Research Institute, May 11-13, 15-17, 2011, 807 New York State Registered Voters, MOE +/- 3.4%

http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/Parents_and_Community/Community_Page/SRI/SNY_Poll/SNY0511%20Crosstabs.pdf

[Tender Branson]

North Carolina (Civitas)

51% Approve
45% Disapprove

(Gov. Perdue)

46% Approve
41% Disapprove

This poll of 600 registered general election voters in North Carolina was conducted May 10-11, 2011 by National Research, Inc. of Holmdel, NJ.  All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of registered voters in North Carolina.  For purposes of this study, voters interviewed had to have voted in two of the past four general elections or were newly registered to vote since 2008.

http://www.nccivitas.org/2011/civitas-poll-perdue-job-approval-remains-under-50-percent

[Tender Branson]

SurveyUSA May Polls:

California: 56% Approve, 40% Disapprove (+10, -10)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollTrack.aspx?g=c717d146-99e7-4de8-8217-9fb792fc2fb8

Kansas: 42% Approve, 54% Disapprove (+6, -7)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollTrack.aspx?g=c9cb9d95-0451-467c-8613-efb0bf5d4a7e

Oregon: 46% Approve, 49% Disapprove (-1, nc)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollTrack.aspx?g=87dabdb7-5435-402e-891e-11b3bf475127

Washington: 50% Approve, 47% Disapprove (+1, nc)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollTrack.aspx?g=c34262fe-7152-4e56-be8d-dd7e32b0f6dd

[Tender Branson]

Yeah, Obama has a 33-58 approval among Oregon Independents ... LOL !

[Tender Branson]

PPP/DailyKos/SEIU Weekly Poll:

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

49% Approve
46% Disapprove

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?

51% Favorable
44% Unfavorable

Generally speaking if there was an election today would you vote to reelect Barack Obama, or would you vote for his Republican opponent?

49% Obama
44% Republican

Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?

50% Very Excited (Democrats: 56%, Republicans: 53%, Independents: 38%)
29% Somewhat Excited (Democrats: 27%, Republicans: 28%, Independents: 32%)
21% Not at all excited (Democrats: 17%, Republicans: 19%, Independents: 30%)

Public Policy Polling, 1000 Registered Voters, MoE 3.1%, May 19, 2011 - May 22, 2011

http://www.dailykos.com/weeklypolling/2011/5/19

[Tender Branson]

American Research Group:

49% Approve
47% Disapprove

5/17-20/11; 1,100 likely voters, 2.6% margin of error, Mode: Live telephone interviews

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/05/23/us-obama-approval-49-appr_n_865716.html

[Tender Branson]

Texas (University of Texas/Texas Tribune)

35% Approve
55% Disapprove

This latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll is an internet survey of 800 registered voters. It was conducted May 11 to 18 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.46 percent. The Republican primary questions have a margin of error of +/-4.98 percent; the Democratic primary questions have a margin of error of +/-6.17 percent.

http://www.texastribune.org/texas-politics/2012-presidential-election/perrys-not-the-texas-frontrunner-uttt-poll-finds/

[Tender Branson]

Great Britain:

"Barack Obama is proving to be a good President of the United States"

60% Agree
14% Disagree

"Barack Obama is doing a better job than his predecessor George W Bush did"

70% Agree
  8% Disagree

Methodology: ComRes interviewed 2028 GB adults online between 20th and 22nd May 2011.  Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults.  ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.

http://www.comres.co.uk/itvnewsobamapoll23may11.aspx

[Tender Branson]

New Jersey (FDU)

55% (+8) Approve
36%  (-6) Disapprove

Among Republicans Obama’s approval rating increased by a third to 21 percent  from 16 percent, while Democrats approval of the president increased by 9 points to 82 percent from 73 percent.

The Fairleigh Dickinson University poll of 804 registered voters statewide was conducted by telephone using both landlines and cell phones from May 16 through May 22, 2011, and has a margin of error of+/-3.5 percentage points.

http://wayne.patch.com/articles/jerseys-loving-obama-are-you-6

[Tender Branson]

Rasmussen polled NJ this week, but approvals are only available to premium members because of Rasmussen's shadyness in recent years.

link

[Tender Branson]

Rasmussen has jumped the shark now with its latest Rasmussen New Jersey poll.  There's absolutely no reason to believe that Rasmussen provides a more accurate picture of New Jersey than SurveyUSA.  And before you think SurveyUSA has some type of bias against certain types of Republicans, just look at the Bachmann/Pawlenty numbers in Minnesota.  Rasmussen is pretty much an establishment Republican schill at this point.

The good news though is that PPP and Tom Jensen were embarrassed itself in the West Virginia GOP primary. 

How were they "embarrassed" ?

They were the only pollster which noticed that Ireland was falling behind. Maloney just picked up the majority of the undecided vote in the last days ...

[Tender Branson]

Democracy Corps (D):

May 21-25, 2011
1000 Likely Voters

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

Total approve ..................................................................... 49
Total disapprove ................................................................ 45

http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/dcor052511fq5_political.pdf

[Tender Branson]

Tender,

The Politico write-up of PPP's error makes it clear that nobody thought the primary contest would be close except for PPP.   Maloney had already won over voters that PPP claimed were undecided.

If you want to excuse a 13-point error, go right ahead.  Every pollster will claim from this point forward that they got it right but only missed the undecideds.

Take a close look here:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/West_Virginia_gubernatorial_special_election,_2011#Polling_2

Between the 2 PPP polls, Ireland gained zero - I repeat - zero support, while Maloney got almost all of the undecideds.

Why would it be so out of question that Maloney got all of the remaining undecided support over the final weekend ?

[Tender Branson]

CNN:

54% Approve
45% Disapprove

Interviews with 1,007 adult Americans conducted by telephone by Opinion Research Corporation on May 24-26, 2011. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2011/images/05/30/rel9d.pdf

[Tender Branson]

Rasmussen:

49-50

Gallup:

49-42

Rasmussen (New Jersey, finally)

53-46

(Gov. Christie)

53-44

LOL, Rasmussen = only pollster to give Christie a higher rating than Obama !

Link

New York (Quinnipiac)

60-35

(Gov. Cuomo)

61-18

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1318.xml?ReleaseID=1606

[Tender Branson]

Rasmussen is too good to be true:

They wanna make us believe that there are currently 35.6% Republicans and 34.0% Democrats among adults, not even RV or LV.

This is what Rasmussen will use as the June benchmark for their daily tracking poll ...

Not even the 2010 Exit Poll was so skewed in favor of Republicans, it was actually tied (35-35).

http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2010/results/polls/#USH00p1

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/partisan_trends

[Tender Branson]

Not worth a lot, because Rasmussen's likely voter sample is now about 37% GOP and 33% DEM or something like this -> see one of my posts above.

[Tender Branson]

Whoah, big Gallup jump today:

53% Approve (+4)
39% Disapprove (-3)

[Tender Branson]

This is the first time since November 2009 that his disapproval has dropped to below 40%.

[Tender Branson]

Allstate / National Journal Hearland Monitor:

51% Approve
41% Disapprove

http://www.allstate.com/Allstate/content/refresh-attachments/Heartland_IX_data.pdf

[Tender Branson]

2 new national polls released today:

ABC News/Washington Post

47% Approve
49% Disapprove

Methodology -- This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone June 2-5, 2011, among a random national sample of 1,002 adults, including landline and cell-phone-only respondents. Results for the full sample have a 3.5-point error margin. Click here for a detailed description of sampling error. This survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of New York, N.Y, with sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.

http://langerresearch.com/uploads/1124a2_2012_Politics.pdf

PPP/DailyKos/SEIU

46% Approve
48% Disapprove

49% Favorable
46% Unfavorable

Public Policy Polling, 1000 Registered Voters, MoE 3.1%, June 2, 2011 - June 5, 2011

http://www.dailykos.com/weeklypolling/2011/6/2

[Tender Branson]

The average of the last 4 recent polls (Rasmussen, Gallup, PPP, ABC/Post):

47.5% Approve
47.8% Disapprove

[Tender Branson]

Rasmussen today: 49-50 (+1, -1)

Gallup today: 50-40 (+1, -3)