Nov 7th - MA, OH, PA, GA, ME - Mayor, Referendum, PA Supreme Court ONLY

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Is the independent a conservative?

http://www.syracuse.com/news/index.ssf/2017/10/ben_walsh_balances_republican_name_democrat.html

He is part of the Walsh dynasty. So probably in a different world, he would be a moderate Republican.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

PA Supreme Court
55% in

Dwayne D. Woodruff (D): 50.34%
Sallie Mundy (R): 49.66%

Too close and with too many votes left to count for my comfort...
The only thing keeping me optimistic here is the fact that the Democrats are surely going to take 3/4 of the Superior Court seats so maybe Woodruff will pull off a very narrow victory.

This so far looks like a standard narrow Republican victory. The voters after 60% lean heavily Republican typically. Lancaster and York are still completely out as well.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Mundy has now taken the lead at 63% reporting.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

The thing we saw in 2015 was that Democrats finally overcame the down ballot edge in Philly burbs that Republicans had managed to maintain previous even as they shifted up ballot in prior decades, but hadn't compensated in the rest of the state.

Luzerne, Erie and Lackawanna should be very concerning for Democrats going forward. And Democrats are lucky that Bob Casey Jr. is a home town hero in Scranton.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Woodruff closed the gap. It's a .7 race. He still has votes in Montgomery, Bucks, Delaware, and Lehigh so he may still have a chance.

Remember in PA, a lot of counties start of Dem and get more Republican as the night goes on. I remember this threw people off in 2010 Senate for instance and in 2016.

A lot of these swing counties also get more Republican. Clinton had some hefty leads in Bucks, Centre, Northampton and by the end they were 50-50 one way or the other.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Just want to let everyone who is reading way too much into this Supreme court race to know that the turnout in this election is abysmally low. Neither candidate is going to hit a million votes. Think about that. Trump and Clinton both had 2.9 million votes respectively. And as we all know, low turnout benefits Republicans. Mundy actually won Delaware county... think about that.

I do wish Woodruff won. I met him before and he was a very genuine guy with an awesome story, he attended law school while still playing for the Steelers. I hope he runs again for an open seat during a Presidential or Midterm election year.

Mundy just crossed 1 million:
http://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/#

Turnout will likely be double this, not triple.

In 2006 and 2010, they had about 4 million votes. In 2014 it was about 3.5 million.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Tonight was just a complete disaster for Trump and the GOP. 2018 is going to be miserable for them. Plus they lost control of the Gerrymandering process for Virginia and Pennsylvania.

Republicans lost the Supreme Court Majority in 2015, not tonight.

In fact, that on the heels of Wolf's win in 2014, was used to shoot down any talk of Trump winning the state in 2016, and we saw how that turned out.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Republicans do not have a veto proof majority in the PA House.

Correct.

The hacks on both sides in this thread need to chill out.