Nov 7th - MA, OH, PA, GA, ME - Mayor, Referendum, PA Supreme Court ONLY

[MAINEiac4434]

Turnout was great in Portland in the morning. Should be a huge Yes on 2 area. If the margin is big enough in Portland it should pass the entire state.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Turnout was great in Portland in the morning. Should be a huge Yes on 2 area. If the margin is big enough in Portland it should pass the entire state.

Do you expect a split similar to 2016 President, where "No" wins in the second CD, but the first CD "Yes" margin is big enough to override it? Or will Yes win across the state?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Any PA posters have any knowledge on the Homestead Exemption vote?

From what little I've read on the subject, the availability of the extended exemption would hinge significantly on the discretion of local bureaucrats which would seem to indicate the not indistinct probability that such a system would be extraordinarily vulnerable to horse trading / corruption.

I'm not quite sure what it was but I do know my father and I voted to abolish it. Please do not kill me.

[MAINEiac4434]

Turnout was great in Portland in the morning. Should be a huge Yes on 2 area. If the margin is big enough in Portland it should pass the entire state.

Do you expect a split similar to 2016 President, where "No" wins in the second CD, but the first CD "Yes" margin is big enough to override it? Or will Yes win across the state?

Maybe, but I don't see why the poorer, more rural 2nd CD wouldn't want medicaid expansion.

[IceSpear]

Turnout was great in Portland in the morning. Should be a huge Yes on 2 area. If the margin is big enough in Portland it should pass the entire state.

Do you expect a split similar to 2016 President, where "No" wins in the second CD, but the first CD "Yes" margin is big enough to override it? Or will Yes win across the state?

Maybe, but I don't see why the poorer, more rural 2nd CD wouldn't want medicaid expansion.

They must not, considering they elected LePage twice.

[The Other Castro]

Boston Election Dept‏ @BostonElections
Turnout as of 3PM is 14.7% (57,788) #BostonVotes
3:38 PM - 7 Nov 2017

https://twitter.com/BostonElections/status/927998639066279939

[#gravelgang #lessiglad]

Any PA posters have any knowledge on the Homestead Exemption vote?

From what little I've read on the subject, the availability of the extended exemption would hinge significantly on the discretion of local bureaucrats which would seem to indicate the not indistinct probability that such a system would be extraordinarily vulnerable to horse trading / corruption.

I'm not quite sure what it was but I do know my father and I voted to abolish it. Please do not kill me.

Haha I honestly don't care about the outcome (no skin in the game here), just wondering if anyone had any more info. I'm vaguely supportive of moving away from property taxes to fund state governments, which I find to be too prone to swings in the housing market and reinforce structural inequalities.

[MT Treasurer]

Turnout in Southern ME seems to be higher than expected, so good news for Yes on 2. Should be a big win.

[GlobeSoc]

How will Ohio vote on question 2?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

How will Ohio vote on question 2?

IDK, but really hope Issue 1 fails.

[BuckeyeNut]

How will Ohio vote on question 2?

IDK, but really hope Issue 1 fails.

Issue two is going to crash and burn. They couldn't even get it passed from California.

[Kamala]

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!!!

[Horsemask]

Turnout in Southern ME seems to be higher than expected, so good news for Yes on 2. Should be a big win.

Wouldn't be surprised. Turnout in Sanford was big, even when I went to my ward after work today.

I voted NO on the Casino. Waaaaayy too shady.

[MAINEiac4434]

^^^ the casino will get defeated, probably by a decent margin.

[MAINEiac4434]

First results for ME question 2: Yes 870, No 527.

One town in each of the first district and second district are reporting. Both showing huge advantages for Yes.

The casino is being defeated with over 80% of the vote.

Lewiston and Auburn (jointly the second and fourth largest cities in the state) are currently overwhelmingly supporting a potential merger.

[MT Treasurer]

Yes on Question 2 has got this, and that casino initiative will fail bigly.

[The Govanah Jake]

I didn't even notice Ohio. Issue 2: 78% no with 4% in

[The Govanah Jake]

Yes: 57%
No: 42%
In Maine with the only no township leading early in Palmyra by 64-35%

[MAINEiac4434]

Yes: 57%
No: 42%
In Maine with the only no township leading early in Palmyra by 64-35%

Just jumped to 62-38 on the Press Herald's website.

And lol, the casino's doomed.

[The Govanah Jake]

Maine is closer now

Yes: 53%
No: 46%

Still expect a Yes victory however. Townships are now coming in throughout the state

[MAINEiac4434]

Small, rural, conservative communities are reporting right now. Portland shouldn't report until 9:30 ish

[MAINEiac4434]

Nothing out of Cumberland County yet for Maine. Communities on the Canadian border are breaking for Yes on 2.

[MAINEiac4434]

DAN HOPKINS 8:43 PM
So far, I’ve looked at nine Maine towns, and it looks like the results are tracking Trump’s 2016 performance pretty closely. Put differently, the places that backed Trump also oppose the Medicaid expansion by similar margins. That could mean a close election, as the 2016 election in Maine was decided by around 3 points. But since Portland, Auburn and Lewiston had ballot measures locally, those are places that are likely to have higher turnout — and so are worth keeping an eye on.

Harry Enten
HARRY ENTEN 8:43 PM
I’m looking at this town data from Maine, and I think Medicaid expansion has a better shot of passing than not. I’m not sure it will be that close, but this could be a weird race. A lot of the areas that have reported are more pro-Republican, and Portland (pro-Democrat) is still out. Expansion is leading by 7 percentage points so far.

[MAINEiac4434]

DAN HOPKINS 8:46 PM
For those of you looking at data from Maine, there’s a really interesting dynamic emerging there: Nowadays, the more educated, coastal towns tend to lean more to the left, while more inland areas tend to back Trump and the Republicans. So far, that’s appearing in the Question 2 returns.

[MAINEiac4434]

Question 2 now leads by almost 10 points, still no Portland results. Saco and Biddeford (Portland exurbs) went bigly for Yes.