CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[Oryxslayer]

I hate to agree with the democratic hacks right now...but can we lay off the nuclear hot takes? We typically don't make them with 20% in when counting in other states....

[henster]

Looks like Ami Bera is finally catching a break this cycle.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Tonight, California has changed my mind. I don't think we are winning the house anymore.

I honestly don't know how you pulled that out of your ass.

Look at how ing terrible numbers in cd's are even in obvious D holds. Garamendi at 54?!

Bera at 52?!

McNerney at 53?!

Carbajal at 52?!

Waters at 68?!

Lowenthal at 56?!

Peters at 57?!

Yes, these are all likely to safe D holds, but still terrible numbers, awful!

How the hell do you dress yourself in the morning?

In what darn blue wave is Waters at 68 acceptable?!

[Hindsight was 2020]

I am seeing that limo might have been right all along (myabe a little overboard, dramatic, and a tinge too pessimistic) but the guy obviously has the bigger picture.

He literally thought the guy in NJ who won his primary by 60% was in danger of losing

[henster]

If I were Dems I would be thinking about rolling back the gas tax, at least reducing it by a few cents. Repeal proposition is probably going to drive a lot of GOP voters to the polls moreso than John Cox ever could.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Someone tell me why Waters at 68 is ok for a blue wave please.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Someone tell me why Waters at 68 is ok for a blue wave please.

She isn't being challenged by anyone! She is going to consolidate the vote

[Jeppe]

Someone tell me why Waters at 68 is ok for a blue wave please.

Because her vote total will go up as more Democratic-leaning ballots come in. California counts very slowly, sometimes for weeks.

[MAINEiac4434]

Mario Nabliba, Some Guy who's 16th in the Senate primary, is third in San Francisco.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The GOP is probably going to get locked out in 44. The third place candidate is the Republican who berated and recorded a transgender woman who was going to the bathroom.

This is the district where Dash ran.

Barragan vs. Brown

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

People - Jerry Brown only got 54% in the 2014 primary, with only one other Democrat getting less than 1%, but Brown finished at 60% in the 2014 general election.

I think there is every reason to believe the same thing is going to happen in November.

[ON Progressive]

How many times do we need to say this Bagel: EARLY. CALIFORNIA. VOTE. SKEWS. REPUBLICAN.

It will take weeks before we know the results of some of these races.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Someone tell me why Waters at 68 is ok for a blue wave please.

Please go watch a movie or something instead

See, they have no counters, they are just delusional hacks, anyways I turned off the coverage and am heading off for the night, I am going to go watch Doyle Republic and contemplate my life choices.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Apparently the tabulation error Dave Wasserman mentioned would knock Scott Baugh into 4th place https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1004229990471426053

[MAINEiac4434]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1004229990471426053

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Tonight, California has changed my mind. I don't think we are winning the house anymore.

I honestly don't know how you pulled that out of your ass.

Look at how ing terrible numbers in cd's are even in obvious D holds. Garamendi at 54?!

Bera at 52?!

McNerney at 53?!

Carbajal at 52?!

Waters at 68?!

Lowenthal at 56?!

Peters at 57?!

Yes, these are all likely to safe D holds, but still terrible numbers, awful!

How the hell do you dress yourself in the morning?

In what darn blue wave is Waters at 68 acceptable?!

She's in a heavily minority district that doesn't turn out reliably in the primaries?

[Virginiá]

If I were Dems I would be thinking about rolling back the gas tax, at least reducing it by a few cents. Repeal proposition is probably going to drive a lot of GOP voters to the polls moreso than John Cox ever could.

Republicans already might have gotten a repeal initiative for it on the ballot for November, an initiative which also requires voter approval for new gas taxes. I think another Atlas user said they submitted signatures week(s) ago.

Gas really doesn't have to be so expensive in CA. As far as I know, it is higher than avg even without the new gas tax for several reasons (special blend only CA uses, pipelines, etc). Democrats might need to reconsider some of those things if they want to raise gas taxes, because they can't just pile on regulations and taxes and expect no backlash.

[Holmes]

There's an easy trick to winning Imperial county.

[ON Progressive]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1004229990471426053

Well then. That would remove any stress about this.

[henster]

If I were Dems I would be thinking about rolling back the gas tax, at least reducing it by a few cents. Repeal proposition is probably going to drive a lot of GOP voters to the polls moreso than John Cox ever could.

Republicans already might have gotten a repeal initiative for it on the ballot for November, an initiative which also requires voter approval for new gas taxes. I think another Atlas user said they submitted signatures week(s) ago.

Gas really doesn't have to be so expensive in CA. As far as I know, it is higher than avg even without the new gas tax for several reasons (special blend only CA uses, pipelines, etc). Democrats might need to reconsider some of those things if they want to raise gas taxes, because they can't just pile on regulations and taxes and expect no backlash.

They should've gone to the ballot with the gas tax in the first place a much smaller one would've passed in 2017 when gas was cheaper.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

In this thread: People who have no experience following California elections.

[MT Treasurer]

All the precincts in Yellowstone County have now reported, so it’s hard to see how Fagg can overcome a ~5,000 vote deficit.

[IceSpear]

Someone tell me why Waters at 68 is ok for a blue wave please.

Please go watch a movie or something instead

See, they have no counters, they are just delusional hacks, anyways I turned off the coverage and am heading off for the night, I am going to go watch Doyle Republic and contemplate my life choices.

No, you just ignore all the relevant responses because you're a) dumb b) trolling c) both. I'm leaning towards C personally.

[Virginiá]

Wellllppp, I have to go to bed, but it's troubling news to see LimoLiberalism has gone airborne and is spreading!

Has bagel never watched an election / CA primary before?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

All the precincts in Yellowstone County have now reported, so it’s hard to see how Fagg can overcome a ~5,000 vote deficit.

Has he ever tried to legally change his name?