CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA
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  CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA
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Author Topic: CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA  (Read 109117 times)
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mlee117379
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« Reply #425 on: June 05, 2018, 10:40:33 PM »

This is looking bad for dems in CA.

Remember, kids, always base your analysis on the earliest, most unrepresentative precincts.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #426 on: June 05, 2018, 10:40:49 PM »

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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #427 on: June 05, 2018, 10:40:59 PM »

Hot damn, looks like Chavez imploded HARD in CA-49. Dem shutout there looking very, very unlikely. Pretty incredible that the former frontrunner has sunk down to 7% with the no-names.
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peenie_weenie
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« Reply #428 on: June 05, 2018, 10:41:47 PM »

This is looking bad for dems in CA.

LUL wut. This is what CA-Dems expected. 48 was the scary lockout chance, which appears to have come true as the chance of a potential lockout. 

Anyway, Bryan Caforio and katie Hill are exactly tied in CA-25.

48 is still at <1%. The only race with >10% is CA-10 where a lockout is still possible but far from assured as only 30% is in.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #429 on: June 05, 2018, 10:42:38 PM »
« Edited: June 05, 2018, 10:47:38 PM by Tintrlvr »

The late-returned ballots always skew (much) more Democratic in California. The Democrats will only go up, across the board, from what you see on the board tonight. No lock-outs are going to happen if the Democrats are in second (even if a very close second in a few races) everywhere relevant on election night.
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Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸
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« Reply #430 on: June 05, 2018, 10:42:44 PM »
« Edited: June 05, 2018, 10:45:51 PM by Thunder98 »

The top 2 Jungle Primary system is stupid. It’s undemocratic
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #431 on: June 05, 2018, 10:43:20 PM »

CA-10 bit of relief - San Joaquin county elections site shows conservative challenger Howze (R) 3 points behind Josh Harder for the second place spot.

http://www.sjcrov.org/results.html

But far too close for comfort.
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jfern
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« Reply #432 on: June 05, 2018, 10:44:22 PM »

The top 2 Primary system is stupid. It’s undemocratic

If we're going to have top 2, it should be IRV to pick the top 2 in the first round.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #433 on: June 05, 2018, 10:45:32 PM »

This is looking bad for dems in CA.

LUL wut. This is what CA-Dems expected. 48 was the scary lockout chance, which appears to have come true as the chance of a potential lockout. 

Anyway, Bryan Caforio and katie Hill are exactly tied in CA-25.

Just that fact that Knight is easily breaching 50 is bad.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #434 on: June 05, 2018, 10:45:54 PM »

As we're waiting for more results, we can add on some more data to the Senate Primary turnout map. Dems got ~65% of the primary vote in New Jersey, which appears to make Senator Menendez's reelection secure, but his lack of broad support within his own party still leaves a bit of a question mark on that race. In Mississippi, Republicans got a similar percentage of the primary vote even though their primary was very uncompetitive. It's even more obvious than it was before tonight that MS SEN Regular is Safe R.



Stay tuned for the data from NM, CA, and MT
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #435 on: June 05, 2018, 10:46:05 PM »

I'm internally screaming
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #436 on: June 05, 2018, 10:47:57 PM »

So Glasson D'Alessandro and now even Heenan are losing? This country is doomed if they don't start electing real progressives(and despite what some red avatars say here, progressives and justice dems are electable, you just don't want to admit it! Especially in a year like this, when a ham sandwich would probably win against a republican!)
We'll see in a week whether the Maine Dems will nominate Betsy Sweet...or Janet Mills.
What about Eves? Is he ok? He seems like a hardcore progressive and he seems to be polling way better then Sweet.
Eves is my second preference, but the race is seeming to come down to Cote vs Mills (vomit)
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #437 on: June 05, 2018, 10:48:37 PM »

As per usual the CNN coverage is useless (except for John King) and the NFL player thing they're having on is even more idiotic.

Until CNN stops having on lying Republicans, no Democrat should watch it.
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Holmes
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« Reply #438 on: June 05, 2018, 10:48:47 PM »

Damn, blue wave cancelled in California? Darn.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #439 on: June 05, 2018, 10:50:14 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTION - NM:

U.S. House District 1
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Debra Haaland
16,568   38.9%
   
Damon Martinez
11,757   27.6   
Antoinette Sedillo Lopez
8,768   20.6   
Paul Moya
2,155   5.1   
Patrick Davis
1,963   4.6   
Damian Lara
1,363   3.2   
42,574 votes, 55% reporting (259 of 468 precincts)

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IceSpear
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« Reply #440 on: June 05, 2018, 10:51:02 PM »

This is looking bad for dems in CA.

LUL wut. This is what CA-Dems expected. 48 was the scary lockout chance, which appears to have come true as the chance of a potential lockout. 

Anyway, Bryan Caforio and katie Hill are exactly tied in CA-25.

Just that fact that Knight is easily breaching 50 is bad.

8,916 votes have been counted. Nearly 100k were cast in 2016.

I honestly don't know how some of you make it through the day.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #441 on: June 05, 2018, 10:51:10 PM »

Damn, blue wave cancelled in California? Darn.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #442 on: June 05, 2018, 10:52:00 PM »

This is looking bad for dems in CA.

LUL wut. This is what CA-Dems expected. 48 was the scary lockout chance, which appears to have come true as the chance of a potential lockout. 

Anyway, Bryan Caforio and katie Hill are exactly tied in CA-25.

Just that fact that Knight is easily breaching 50 is bad.

8,916 votes have been counted. Nearly 100k were cast in 2016.

I honestly don't know how some of you make it through the day.

The trend should hold.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #443 on: June 05, 2018, 10:52:07 PM »

8,916 votes have been counted. Nearly 100k were cast in 2016.

I honestly don't know how some of you make it through the day.

Heavily medicated
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Nyvin
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« Reply #444 on: June 05, 2018, 10:52:11 PM »

This is looking bad for dems in CA.

LUL wut. This is what CA-Dems expected. 48 was the scary lockout chance, which appears to have come true as the chance of a potential lockout. 

Anyway, Bryan Caforio and katie Hill are exactly tied in CA-25.

Just that fact that Knight is easily breaching 50 is bad.

That's based off of "one precinct" you know right?
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Atlas Force
mlee117379
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« Reply #445 on: June 05, 2018, 10:52:19 PM »

This is looking bad for dems in CA.

LUL wut. This is what CA-Dems expected. 48 was the scary lockout chance, which appears to have come true as the chance of a potential lockout. 

Anyway, Bryan Caforio and katie Hill are exactly tied in CA-25.

Just that fact that Knight is easily breaching 50 is bad.

8,916 votes have been counted. Nearly 100k were cast in 2016.

I honestly don't know how some of you make it through the day.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #446 on: June 05, 2018, 10:52:36 PM »

Newsom has the first slot for CA-GOV locked down. Cox is favored for slot 2, but it's possible that a strong number in LA could boost up Villagarosa, so no call yet.:


CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTE   PCT.   
Gavin Newsom
Democrat
299,491   31.7%   

John Cox
Republican
271,124   28.7   
Travis Allen
Republican
124,141   13.2   
Antonio Villaraigosa
Democrat
100,688   10.7   
John Chiang
Democrat
71,051   7.5   

943,444 votes, 4% reporting (801 of 21,486 precincts)
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #447 on: June 05, 2018, 10:53:17 PM »

All I want is beautiful Ammar Campa-Najjar on the ballot in November
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IceSpear
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« Reply #448 on: June 05, 2018, 10:53:32 PM »

8,916 votes have been counted. Nearly 100k were cast in 2016.

I honestly don't know how some of you make it through the day.

Heavily medicated

Would this not increase the chance of them accidentally walking into incoming traffic or falling into a manhole?

"Well, there's not a car right in front of my face right this second, so I should be safe!"
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💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)
peenie_weenie
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« Reply #449 on: June 05, 2018, 10:53:47 PM »

This is looking bad for dems in CA.

LUL wut. This is what CA-Dems expected. 48 was the scary lockout chance, which appears to have come true as the chance of a potential lockout. 

Anyway, Bryan Caforio and katie Hill are exactly tied in CA-25.

Just that fact that Knight is easily breaching 50 is bad.

8,916 votes have been counted. Nearly 100k were cast in 2016.

I honestly don't know how some of you make it through the day.

The trend should hold.

lmao it's literally less than 1% of the total precincts
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