As stated in the article it depends on how his district is redrawn. Cartwright's prolly still decently favored if his new district has Scranton metro+Stroudsburg as well as the resort counties which have actually seen population growth over the past few decades. On the other hand, however much of Coal Country he doesn't have to eat in exurban Luzerne/the Jim Thorpe area is gonna be Wild's problem.
Is a 9D/8R map possible for PA in '22? On paper, but NEPA and Lehigh Valley are going to be top R targets.
It might actually help the Dems in a court drawn map if we concede PA-8 and ask for the court to draw a Scranton to Allentown PA-7 that shores up Wild and keeps PA-17 blue by taking in part of Pittsburgh. Maybe PA-4 can take in parts of Lehigh.
