Post Random Maps Here 3.0

[morgankingsley]

1988 US presidential election

Michael Dukakis/Lloyd Bentsen-Democratic: 280 EV 49.65%
George Bush/Dan Quayle-Republican: 258 EV 49.37%

Is this a Dukakis victory by universal swing?

[morgankingsley]

2012 with Gary Johnson as the Republican.

270-268

Why does he get so close

[morgankingsley]

After spending -I'm not exaggerating at all when I say this- over a year trying to do so, I finally got a campaign trail where George Wallace wins South Carolina. Here is the map

[morgankingsley]

1912, head-to-head

✓ Former President Theodore Roosevelt (R-NY)/Governor Hiram Johnson (R-CA): 326 EVs.; 51.3%
Governor Woodrow Wilson (D-NJ)/Governor Thomas Marshall (D-IN): 205 EVs.; 46.4%

✓ Governor Woodrow Wilson (D-NJ)/Governor Thomas Marshall (D-IN): 324 EVs.; 50.0%
President William Howard Taft (R-OH)/Mr. Nicholas Butler (R-NY): 207 EVs.; 45.5%

I'm glad somebody agrees Wilson would beat Taft one in one

[morgankingsley]

1912, head-to-head

✓ Former President Theodore Roosevelt (R-NY)/Governor Hiram Johnson (R-CA): 326 EVs.; 51.3%
Governor Woodrow Wilson (D-NJ)/Governor Thomas Marshall (D-IN): 205 EVs.; 46.4%

✓ Governor Woodrow Wilson (D-NJ)/Governor Thomas Marshall (D-IN): 324 EVs.; 50.0%
President William Howard Taft (R-OH)/Mr. Nicholas Butler (R-NY): 207 EVs.; 45.5%

I'm glad somebody agrees Wilson would beat Taft one in one

I was unsure about some states, but overall, I believe Wilson would have defeated Taft, who was not that much of a popular prez at the time. I even read somewhere if TR had not run, he may have retired after 1 term.

My opinion has always been that Roosevelt would have beaten Wilson but Wilson would beat Taft. So on this debate, we are in agreement

[morgankingsley]

Using same President Elect game, I played 1980 with Anderson and did really well getting 3 states and 62 electoral votes. Reagan still won a decisive victory.

342-134-62

1980...when has that been a scenario?  It was always 16, 12, 2000, 88, 76, 68, 60, 48, 1916, 1896, 1860, and 1844

Different game

[morgankingsley]

1988: Lawton Chiles the Democratic nominee

I think Lawton Chiles would have been one of the strongest 1988 Democratic candidates. He would have cut into Bush's Southern support and run a competent campaign. With Al Gore as vice presidential candidate for the "youth factor", this would have been a winning ticket.

✓ Senator Lawton M. Chiles (D-FL)/Senator Albert Arnold Gore (D-TN): 307 EV. (50.37%)
Vice President George H.W. Bush (R-TX)/Senator J. Danforth Quayle (R-IN): 231 EV. (47.64%)

Who would you say could have beaten Bush in eighty eight

[morgankingsley]

Truman winning but Thurmond picks up all confederate states, and I shaded the states to what I think would realistically happen in this case

[morgankingsley]

I made a map like 5 months ago where I had Perot get 27.5 percent, Clinton 37, and Bush 35, and this was roughly what it was, give or take one or two states for Bush

Perot comes within one percent of Kansas and Alaska, still loses Wyoming, Utah, and Idaho by large margins, and every other state by over 10 IIRC

[morgankingsley]

203-199-101-31

The electoral nightmare. 2020 with President Clinton facing off against 3 rivals. Neither  Clinton, Kasich, Sanders or Trump gets 270 with a House election taking place in 2021. The Senate selects Rubio as VP and serves as A/POTUS until a the deadlock is resolved.

How will the House vote?

depends on how the national popular vote goes, care to try and break that down lol

[morgankingsley]

[morgankingsley]

203-199-101-31

The electoral nightmare. 2020 with President Clinton facing off against 3 rivals. Neither  Clinton, Kasich, Sanders or Trump gets 270 with a House election taking place in 2021. The Senate selects Rubio as VP and serves as A/POTUS until a the deadlock is resolved.

How will the House vote?

depends on how the national popular vote goes, care to try and break that down lol

Acting POTUS Rubio for a while as the House votes for the President. This will be a mess.

Make a timeline out of this lol

[morgankingsley]

A moderately more interesting 1968. All states won by less than ten percent flipped to the second place candidate

[morgankingsley]

379-136-16

Yellow designates states with at least one faithless elector

This map is kind of pointless, but when I first saw the 1924 map infobox, for like a year afterwards, I misread LaFollette as having 16 electoral votes, not 13. So I just simply decided to take away 3 Coolidge votes, one from Minnesota, and 2 from Montana, give him all 3, to make it actually be 16

[morgankingsley]

1964: Kennedy lives on, gets in trouble with Bobby Baker scandal, drops LBJ from the ticket and Nelson Rockefeller is the Republican nominee.

✓ Governor Nelson A. Rockefeller (R-NY)/Governor James Rhodes (R-OH): 291 EV. (50.17%)
President John Fitzgerald Kennedy (D-MA)/Governor Terry Sanford (D-NC): 240 EV. (47.25%)
Unpledged electors: 7 EV.


1968: The last election with a Deep South (Democratic) versus the entire rest (Republican). DC goes Republican for the only time in history.

✓ President Nelson A. Rockefeller (R-NY)/Vice President James Rhodes (R-OH): 477 EV. (60.71%)
Senator George Smathers (D-FL)/Governor Edmund G. Brown (D-CA): 61 EV. (38.23%)

Arkansas was the most loyal Democratic state of the South, voting D every single time from 1876 to 1964. In this case, I think Arkansas pulls one last Democratic vote like this

[morgankingsley]

1992 thrown to the house

[morgankingsley]

Truman winning but Thurmond picks up all confederate states, and I shaded the states to what I think would realistically happen in this case

In hindsight, I would flip the shades of Virginia and Tennesse. I dont see a way where Crump approves of Thurmond before Byrd

[morgankingsley]

President Infinity Game: 2016 Expanded parties

Fmr. Sec. Hillary Clinton (DEM-NY)/Sen. Tim Kaine (DEM-VA): 60,437,339 41.8% 303 EV
Mr. Donald Trump (REP-NY)/Gov. Mike Pence (REP-IN): 58,059,025 40.2% 235 EV
Fmr. Gov. Gary Johnson (LIB-NM)/Fmr. Gov. Bill Weld (LIB-MA): 12,191,029 8.4%
Fmr. Town Meeting Member Jill Stein (GRN-MA)/Mr. Ajamu Baraka (GRN-GA): 5,434,314 3.8%
Fmr. Mayor Michael Bloomberg (IND-NY)/Fmr. Sec. Chuck Hagel (IND-NE): 5,160,468, 3.6%
Ms. Gloria La Riva (PSL-CA)/Mr. Eugene Puryear (PSL-DC): 1,807,924 1.3%
Mr. Evan McMullin (IND-UT)/Mrs. Mindy Finn (IND-CA): 1,044,455 0.7%
Mr. Darrel Castle (CON-TN)/Mr. Scott Bradley (CON-UT): 312,219 0.2%


Best state for minor parties:
Libertarian: Tie between NM and MT (15.8%)
Green: MT (5.8%)
Bloomberg: UT (6.4%)
Socialism and Liberation: IA (2.9%)
McMullin: UT (23.8%)
Castle: UT (4.9%)

5 Closest states:
IA 39.6-39.1-8.3-3.6-2.9-2.6-2.5-1.4

NV 42.6-42.1-10.3-5.0

FL 41.9-41.1-8.3-4.4-4.2-0.2

MI 41.3-40.5-8.0-4.4-3.8-2.0

UT 24.8-23.8-23.2-12.1-6.4-4.9-3.4-1.4

I wonder how the libertarians will ruin campaign funding next election

[morgankingsley]

President Calvin Coolidge
Republican - Massachusetts
11,650,482 votes (40.04%)
266 electors
Ambassador John W. Davis
Democratic - West Virginia
5,476,076 votez (18.82%)
149 electors
Senator Robert M. La Follette
Progressive - Wisconsin
11,816,335 votes (40.61%)
116 electors

Closest states:
Kentucky: 35.98% - 34.93%
Colorado: 44.44% - 43.02%
New Mexico: 34.52% - 33.02% - 32.46%
West Virginia: 35.45% - 34.07%
Missouri: 35.58% - 33.79%

I find it funny how much lafollette had a popular vote advantage in that year but totally screwed in the electoral vote no matter how he tries to play it

[morgankingsley]

Donald Trump
Hillary Clinton

New Hampshire and Minnesota flip to Trump

Donald Trump
Joe Biden

Nevada and Maine flip to Trump, Arizona and New Hampshire flip to Biden

[morgankingsley]

Here's a random map that I made, based off a post I made earlier today. This is what 2020 would look like if Joe Biden won with the same popular vote as Warren G. Harding a century ago, in 1920:

Joe Biden (D-Delaware)/Kamala Harris (D-California)-60.35%-515 EV
Donald J. Trump (R-Florida)/Mike Pence (R-Indiana)-34.12%-23 EV
Others-5.53%-0 EV

I utilized a universal swing calculator, designed by Reagente and provided by him to me, to create this. Obviously, this map is utterly unrealistic, and there is no such thing as a "universal swing", but it was an interesting thought experience nevertheless. I may create a county map of this down the road.

For the sake of statistical purposes, what would the reverse be? Trump winning by Harding levels

[morgankingsley]

An electoral map that has Democratic and Republican states contiguous and results in a 269-269 tie.

Washington DC breaks contiguity.

Also I am not sure I would call touching at one single point "contiguous" but that is another matter.

They did say "states" so technically DC doesn't count

[morgankingsley]

President Donald Trump (R-FL) / Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN) ✓
Mayor Bill Dewey (D-DE) / Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA)

What is this PV

I must be exhausted because when I first saw this I thought "woah that's a giant landslide"

[morgankingsley]

Gov. Mitt Romney/Sen. Rob Portman: 272 (49.01%)

Pres. Hillary Clinton/Vice Pres. Wesley Clark: 266 (49.28%)

Pres. Mitt Romney/Vice Pres. Rob Portman: 282 (49.44%)

Sen. Bernie Sanders/Sen. Cory Booker: 256 (46.37%)

Other: 0 (4.19%)

Gov. Barack Obama/Sen. Pete Buttigieg: 478 (51.10%)

Vice Pres. Rob Portman/Sen. Ted Cruz: 60 (42.75%)

Rep. Justin Amash/Gov. Gary Johnson: 0 (4.16%)
Other: 0 (1.99%)

Rip Portman

[morgankingsley]

Lyndon Johnson - 633 electoral votes / 50.7 percent popular vote
George Wallace - 116 electoral votes / 8.1 percent popular vote
Nelson Rockefeller - 81 electoral votes / 40.9 percent popular vote
Other - 0.4 percent popular vote