How likely is a one-term Trump and then a one-term Democratic successor? (user search)
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  How likely is a one-term Trump and then a one-term Democratic successor? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: See question in thread title
#1
Very Likely
 
#2
Somewhat Likely
 
#3
50/50
 
#4
Somewhat Unlikley
 
#5
Very Unlikely
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 104

Author Topic: How likely is a one-term Trump and then a one-term Democratic successor?  (Read 5247 times)
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 36,667
United States


« on: June 19, 2018, 07:39:08 PM »

This is more likely than most think.


I'm mostly convinced Trump is a one-termer since the economy is most likely going to have a downturn before Oct. 2020, and that plus Trump's insanity/incompetence will doom him.

I think the GOP is going to be very, very demoralized until Trump leaves. Then I can foresee a kind of Tea Party 2.0 that spends all of 2021-24 clawing away and attacking whoever the Democratic President is.

I also think we're more likely to see one-termers now, since I believe with social media and the decreased relevance of campaign cash, the main advantages of presidential incumbency will decline

Agreed
But incumbency hasn't been this strong since JQ!
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