VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)

[Kamala]

Sigh, looks like its going to rain for the rest of the day in Nova.

YES!!! SOME NORTHAM VOTERS STAY HOME, GILLESPIE HAS A SHOT!!!

YES!!! DEMOCRACY IS SUBVERTED SO I CAN CONTROL WOMEN’S PRIVATES!!!

[Kamala]

Sigh, looks like its going to rain for the rest of the day in Nova.

YES!!! SOME NORTHAM VOTERS STAY HOME, GILLESPIE HAS A SHOT!!!

YES!!! DEMOCRACY IS SUBVERTED SO I CAN CONTROL WOMEN’S PRIVATES!!!

Just relax. Should Gillespie pull off the upset, he will be a great governor for Virginia.

Yeah, the man who ran on Confederate statues and race-baiting will be a fantastic governor.

[Kamala]

42% of actual turnout or of 2013 turnout?

[Kamala]

42% of actual turnout or of 2013 turnout?

Actual turnout, 42% of registered voters have voted.

That’s fantastic.

[Kamala]

What is the pundit prediction for the 13th HoD district?

[Kamala]

What is the pundit prediction for the 13th HoD district?

Danica Roem outraised the incumbent $800k to $350k, so she has a fairly good shot. Clinton beat Trump by 14 points in the district, so it gives Roem some room to breathe too.

Wonderful. The author of Virginia's bathroom bill being defeated by the first trans person in a state legislature is the kind of poetic justice I can get behind.

[Kamala]

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Nice and low, at least so far. Hopefully it stays that way.

Did you eat a big bowl of stupid for breakfast this doesnt even include absentees and ppl arent off work yet

inb4 "only republicans have jerbs"

[Kamala]

Just to be certain, polls close at 7 or at 6?

[Kamala]

My experts are telling me Northam is winning over a lot of diabetic libertarians and recently divorced soccer moms, cutting into Gillespie's base. Expect a margin of +13 or +14 Northam.

[Kamala]

Really low conservative ideology number for Virginia.

People who may have called themselves Conservative a few years ago may identify as Moderate in Trump's America?

Most conservatives I know are proud to call themselves one.

[Kamala]

Fairfax County turnout surging as the clouds lift.

Ralph Northam, endorsed by:

God (D-Heaven)

[Kamala]

Fairfax County turnout surging as the clouds lift.

Ralph Northam, endorsed by:

God (D-Heaven)

God (socialist-Heaven)

Only Jesus is a socialist. God's a Democrat. The Virgin Mary is a proud supporter of the Green Party.

[Kamala]

Prediction: Fairfax total turnout over/under 50%? Over/under 55%? 60%?

[Kamala]

Fairfax turnout must be good for NOVA HoD seats too.

[Kamala]

When was the last time a D won statewide by 10 points or more? I honestly have no idea. Chuck Robb in 1988, maybe? Northam winning by 9 would be unprecedented in modern Virginia.

Didn't Warner destroy Gilmore? Unless you mean gubernatorial elections ...

[Kamala]

Holy gender gap, though.

[Kamala]

Gillespie losing his lead this early does not bode well for him, I would think...

[Kamala]

Also to note: Herring and Fairfax underperforming Northam. Vogel and Adams seem to be getting Gillespie + Hyra + some Northam voters too

[Kamala]

What if these are the results? Am I a prophetess? (obviously replace Northam for Perriello, but)

[Kamala]

"Democrats only run on identity politics!!!1!!1!"

[Kamala]

Reports of my death have been greatly exaggerated!

[Kamala]

How many HoD pickups? I think 10 is now solidly in the picture.

[Kamala]

Rename the thread!

[Kamala]

from 538:

SETH MASKET 7:48 PM
Looking at the 14 counties/cities in Virginia with at least 70 percent of the vote counted, Northam is running an average of 7.6 points ahead of where Clinton performed last year.


so... maybe... Northam +13???

[Kamala]

Northam +6.4 on Upshot.

This is fantastic.

He's +7.8 now!