Hot take: Republicans are more likely to flip NJ than VA if Biden is president (both are safe D under Trump). NJGOP seems more likely than VAGOP to nominate a good candidate (Ciattarelli or Bramnick), and Phil Murphy was had mediocre popularity before coronavirus hit. Plus crisis approvals aren't guaranteed to last - just ask Chris Christie.
True, but I don't think the NJ GOP has their acts together. They will run a suburban Italian/Irish, and make it competitive, but Murphy will win a second term
