WI-Marquette Law: Biden +4

[wbrocks67]

Yeah, this is slightly after the RNC and already kind of old, so that's a bit frustrating.

Their RV poll has Biden +6, the same as last time but... more undecideds. 46-40 is ridiculous... that's 4% more undecided than last month.

Jo Jorgensen not getting 4%.

Biden dropping from +6 RV to +4 LV doesn't seem to jive with LV screen helping him in most other polls either.

[wbrocks67]

It's also quite an old poll. They were in the field Aug 30 - Sep 1.

So this is the immediate aftermath of the RNC, basically. Scratch what I wrote earlier. Biden continuing to lead after Trump's best chance to unilaterally dominate coverage is a good sign for him. I'm just worried about the undecided numbers.

It's just a bad sample, I think. They somehow had *more* decided voters a month ago than now, which obviously isn't right

[wbrocks67]

Trump job approval: 44/54 (-10) … was 44/54 in August

Does Joe Biden care about people like you? 48/45 (+3) … was 46/42 in June
Does Donald Trump care about people like you? 41/56 (-15) … was 39/57 in June

Pence fav: 39/46 (-7)
Harris fav: 38/37 (+1)

Trump fav: 42/54 (-12)
Biden fav: 45/47 (-2)

Trump protests approval: 36/54 (-18)

--

The only thing that I can gather from this is that 44% looks like it's Trumps ceiling in Wisconsin. It's hard to look at these #s and only have Biden down 4-6.

[wbrocks67]

Yeah, 538 has Biden +7 with leaners in RV and +4 in LV. Pretty big split.

Also has Jorgensen at 5% with leaners RV which is just ridiculous

[wbrocks67]

Apparently their Likely voter screen only includes "absolutely certain to vote" and not "very likely to vote"