Could (and will) 2024 be the Democrats' year in TX? (user search)
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  Could (and will) 2024 be the Democrats' year in TX? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Could (and will) 2024 be the Democrats' year in TX?  (Read 1364 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,833
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: March 26, 2023, 01:39:17 PM »
« edited: March 26, 2023, 01:47:45 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

I think it's unlikely, especially since the abortion law will curb internal migration by Democrats to Texas, and may make many Democrats leave Texas.
That might happen to Georgia if they try hard enough to kick liberal proffesions out.

But my theory is that voting behaviour depends on living standards which are determined by:

Weather
Population density
Income

In short, a harsh place makes harsh people.

For example, California was always liberal until dust bowl migrants (bible belt ones, like Nixon and Reagan) came in the 1930's, when they settled in and became active in local matters as time went by California became conservative.
But when they died, California reverted to liberal again.

My reasoning is that mild coastal California weather+high population density+high incomes= super liberal population.

That would also explain Florida Man, because Florida has a tropical-subtropical climate that can drive you mad sometimes.

If my theory is correct then Georgia, Arizona, Colorado, Virginia will remain Liberal for a generation, and then revert to their prior characters.

There are gonna be Hurricane but not an IAN that was a tsunami like Katrina was, TX, FL and NC will be hit with a Hurricane because of climate change

It's a 303 and we will see if Beshear, Presley and Wilson can win in R 22 but Rubio and DeWine aren't running in 24 like in 24, Biden and Harris are back on ballot and DeWine and DeSantis are TL

It's 80/75 or 65)60 M Ds because white female vote 55/45 D even in FL Golden Girls were Feminist Bea Arthur, Betty White and Minorities vote D and combine the two with liberal white men is 50/47 D

It's called wave insurance outside 303 we don't need bur 270 to win Prez but we need it for Congress we are trying to pick up MO and FL or Moand TX because they are blk Populated and MT or WV can go R because they are white populated 2 percent blk in WV
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,833
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: March 30, 2023, 12:45:12 PM »
« Edited: March 30, 2023, 12:50:28 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

No, Allred isn't running end of story, he learned the lesson of Tim Ryan, that if you go for a wave insurance seat and D's don't have the Filibuster proof Trifecta already you can lose and D's are gonna be the majority party anyways, he can challenge Cornyn if D's have a Filibuster proof Trifecta in 26 anyways

We don't have a top name candidate in TX we don't either in FL but FL will be close this time

If Ryan would of won he would have ran for TX S but Vance won the Maga Candidate
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