Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,209
Political Matrix E: 9.53, S: 10.54
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« on: October 18, 2017, 01:17:42 PM » |
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The difference between these polls is mostly what sample ends up being used. This was a D+10 sample. The R+1 sample the other day was R+2 sample.
The consistency between these polls is Northam being up among independents. He was down among independents a few months ago.
VA 2013 was D+5 VA 2014 was D+0 VA 2016 was D+7
I'm not sure what the turnout will be in 2016, but I'd imagine it'd be at least D+3 in a Trump off-year. And if Gillepsie is losing independents, that is a bad sign.
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