Youngest Senator on January 4, 2017 (user search)
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  Youngest Senator on January 4, 2017 (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Who will be the youngest Senator on January 4, 2017?
#1
(still) Tom Cotton		  
#2
Conner Eldridge		  
#3
Patrick Murphy		  
#4
Caroline Fayard		  
#5
Jason Kander		  
#6
Mark Callahan		  
#7
Misty Snow		  
#8
Other		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 61

Author Topic: Youngest Senator on January 4, 2017  (Read 2099 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,312
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« on: September 19, 2016, 12:12:04 PM »
Hopefully it'll be Murphy, but if the election were today, it would be Cotton.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,312
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: September 19, 2016, 08:09:58 PM »
Quote from: Silent Cal on September 19, 2016, 05:59:02 PM
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 19, 2016, 12:12:04 PM
Hopefully it'll be Murphy, but if the election were today, it would be Cotton.
Murphy hasn't led in a single poll in months. why would he have any opportunity to be the youngest?

Flawless Beautiful Marco Purple heart Purple heart Purple heart is ahead, but not by an insurmountable margin. If things swing in the Democrats' favor, it's still possible for Murphy to win. I don't get why so many people assume that Murphy can't make up a mid-single digit gap, but that Toomey and other Republicans can.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,312
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #2 on: September 19, 2016, 08:41:50 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on September 19, 2016, 08:32:39 PM
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 19, 2016, 08:09:58 PM
Quote from: Silent Cal on September 19, 2016, 05:59:02 PM
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 19, 2016, 12:12:04 PM
Hopefully it'll be Murphy, but if the election were today, it would be Cotton.
Murphy hasn't led in a single poll in months. why would he have any opportunity to be the youngest?

Flawless Beautiful Marco Purple heart Purple heart Purple heart is ahead, but not by an insurmountable margin. If things swing in the Democrats' favor, it's still possible for Murphy to win. I don't get why so many people assume that Murphy can't make up a mid-single digit gap, but that Toomey and other Republicans can.

Well, I guess that means Ron Johnson can win as well, since he is down by about the same margin as Murphy? Toomey is trailing by 2 in the polling average, Rubio by 8. The DSCC is making cuts to their ad buys in FL, which isn't a good sign for Murphy.

Republican groups aren't lifting a finger to help Kirk, and yet you have him winning. The average includes some Republican friendly polls taken during the last two weeks, which were generally terrible for Democrats. Flawless Beautiful Marco Purple heart Purple heart Purple heart is up 6.4, according to the RCP average, though that includes the likely R+11 outlier. That's not too different from Hagan's lead over Tillis in September. Many people assumed she was safe too, and Tillis was far from a perfect candidate.
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