Which state would be most likely to go Democratic?

[Rockefeller GOP]

The right kind of Democrat can win West Virginia statewide.  They still do. 

This.  I'll go WV > AR > KY > AL > OK

[Rockefeller GOP]

Kentucky is the only place left where there hasn't been a collapse of the statewide Democratic party. West Virginia is arguable, but 2014 proved the state's Democratic rule is pretty much done.

I know these are presidential elections were talking about, but all these states went >60% Romney last time and Kentucky has the most powerful Democratic party, so that's that.

Given the strength of Moore-Capito and that 2014 appeared to be a GOP wave (can we really make THAT many long term predictions based off of a cycle that saw Republicans win the governorship in Maryland?), I'm going to hold off on calling WV just yet.  2016 will be very telling.

[Rockefeller GOP]

Kentucky is the only place left where there hasn't been a collapse of the statewide Democratic party. West Virginia is arguable, but 2014 proved the state's Democratic rule is pretty much done.

I know these are presidential elections were talking about, but all these states went >60% Romney last time and Kentucky has the most powerful Democratic party, so that's that.

Given the strength of Moore-Capito and that 2014 appeared to be a GOP wave (can we really make THAT many long term predictions based off of a cycle that saw Republicans win the governorship in Maryland?), I'm going to hold off on calling WV just yet.  2016 will be very telling.

Even if it was a wave, the GOP made massive gains in both chambers of the state legislature. We will have to wait until 2016 to make a final judgement because that's when all the statewide offices are up, but as of now it looks really bad for WV Dems.

I agree it doesn't look good, just saying we really do need to see 2016 first to be sure.  I mean, remember how many seats Democrats won back in the South in '06?  I remember articles talking about how Bush fatigue had completely saved the "institution" of the Southern Democrat, LOL.

[Rockefeller GOP]

Kentucky is the only place left where there hasn't been a collapse of the statewide Democratic party. West Virginia is arguable, but 2014 proved the state's Democratic rule is pretty much done.

I know these are presidential elections were talking about, but all these states went >60% Romney last time and Kentucky has the most powerful Democratic party, so that's that.

Given the strength of Moore-Capito and that 2014 appeared to be a GOP wave (can we really make THAT many long term predictions based off of a cycle that saw Republicans win the governorship in Maryland?), I'm going to hold off on calling WV just yet.  2016 will be very telling.

Even if it was a wave, the GOP made massive gains in both chambers of the state legislature. We will have to wait until 2016 to make a final judgement because that's when all the statewide offices are up, but as of now it looks really bad for WV Dems.

I agree it doesn't look good, just saying we really do need to see 2016 first to be sure.  I mean, remember how many seats Democrats won back in the South in '06?  I remember articles talking about how Bush fatigue had completely saved the "institution" of the Southern Democrat, LOL.

Not many. 2 or 3?

Maybe '08 then?  Look at the '08 map, the South is quite blue.