The "Who is running?" tea leaves thread (Part 2)

[RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm]

Seriously, including Warren in the polls at this point is even worse than including Romney and Ryan on the Republican side.

I'd like to see a poll without her too. I'm guessing that the pollsters are hoping for her to run, like Obama in 2008.

[RogueBeaver]

WaPo on how Team Hillary is taking shape. Likely to announce something formal by early April.

[RogueBeaver]

Walker will be the Pub speaker at Gridiron, Obama the Dem.

[Mr. Morden]

Biden will visit Iowa next week:

http://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2015/02/06/iowa-gets-a-vice-presidential-visit-next-week/

O'Malley announces several early state visits.  He'll be in New Hampshire on St. Patrick's Day, and also has visits to Iowa scheduled in both March and April:

http://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2015/02/03/today-in-politics-88/#post-mb-7

[IceSpear]

WaPo on how Team Hillary is taking shape. Likely to announce something formal by early April.

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Roughly a 62.7% chance she doesn't run.

[Mr. Morden]

Jindal and Walker will both be visiting South Carolina in March:

http://www.thestate.com/2015/01/30/3960171_2016-in-sc-scott-walker-returns.html?rh=1

Santorum hiring staff in South Carolina:

http://www.cnn.com/2015/01/29/politics/rick-santorum-hiring-staff-south-carolina/

Pataki's visiting New Hampshire again in April, to attend the NH GOP's “First in the Nation Republican Leadership Summit”.  They're hoping to get more candidates there, but Pataki's the first confirm his attendance:

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/231121-new-hampshire-gop-to-launch-presidential-candidate-summit

[RogueBeaver]

Rubio getting some big-name donors.

[Mr. Morden]

Politico on the longshot GOP candidates:

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/02/another-gop-circus-in-2016-114979.html

Pataki calls the possibility of him running "probably probable".  Ehrlich says he's playing it by ear:

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[Mr. Morden]

At 2:40 in this video of Sanders talking on MSNBC earlier today, he says that he hasn't yet decided whether to run for prez, but if he does, there will be a "real clash of ideas" between Clinton and himself:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LsgkkLLD52E

[Mr. Morden]

Carson does a radio interview with Alan Colmes in which he says that it's "likely" that he'll set up an exploratory committee "within the next month or so":

http://radio.foxnews.com/2015/02/04/dr-ben-carson-exploratory-committee-for-president-coming-in-a-month/

In the same interview, he expresses skepticism about evolution:

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[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Carson does a radio interview with Alan Colmes in which he says that it's "likely" that he'll set up an exploratory committee "within the next month or so":

http://radio.foxnews.com/2015/02/04/dr-ben-carson-exploratory-committee-for-president-coming-in-a-month/

In the same interview, he expresses skepticism about evolution:

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I suggest that he go to the top of a building and test whether there's any validity to Newton's theory of gravity since it was debunked by Einstein.

[morgieb]

Carson does a radio interview with Alan Colmes in which he says that it's "likely" that he'll set up an exploratory committee "within the next month or so":

http://radio.foxnews.com/2015/02/04/dr-ben-carson-exploratory-committee-for-president-coming-in-a-month/

In the same interview, he expresses skepticism about evolution:

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lol. Isn't he a doctor?

[RogueBeaver]

Adam Smith: growing number of FLGOP insiders think Rubio's aiming for the Mansion in 2018.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Adam Smith: growing number of FLGOP insiders think Rubio's aiming for the Mansion in 2018.

Thats good news for me personally at least .

[RogueBeaver]

Smith said before Rubio would start as a favorite over Putnam re name ID + $$$, and Atwater would be the likeliest candidate for Rubio's Senate seat.

[retromike22]

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/02/john-kerry-2016-elections-114992.html?hp=l2_4

John Kerry on 2016:

At the end of a wide-ranging interview airing Sunday on NBC’s “Meet the Press,” host Chuck Todd pressed Kerry, the 2004 Democratic presidential nominee, whether there was a scenario in which he would run again for president in 2016.

“I have no scenario whatsoever in my mind,” Kerry said. “I haven’t thought about it. As you can tell, pretty busy.”

When Todd asked, “is it a never say never?” Kerry replied: “Well, nobody says never. But I mean, I have no concept of it.”

[SPC]

Rubio interest in a guber run is more not less indication that he's running for president now. Not that he hasn't already tipped that.

How do you figure?

[RogueBeaver]

Walker leasing office space in IA, Branstad's old campaign office. For now his 527's local HQ.

[IceSpear]

Rubio interest in a guber run is more not less indication that he's running for president now. Not that he hasn't already tipped that.

How do you figure?

He's said that if he runs for president, he won't use running for re-election to the Senate as a "fallback option".

[SPC]

Rubio interest in a guber run is more not less indication that he's running for president now. Not that he hasn't already tipped that.

How do you figure?

He's said that if he runs for president, he won't use running for re-election to the Senate as a "fallback option".

Implying that he intends to use running for governor as a "fallback option?"

[Mr. Morden]

Rubio interest in a guber run is more not less indication that he's running for president now. Not that he hasn't already tipped that.

How do you figure?

He's said that if he runs for president, he won't use running for re-election to the Senate as a "fallback option".

Implying that he intends to use running for governor as a "fallback option?"

Yes.  He runs for president in 2016.  If he doesn't win, he runs for governor in 2018.

[Mr. Morden]

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/02/08/carson-says-getting-personnel-rational-in-place-for-2016-white-house-run-hints/

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[Mr. Morden]

Paul was in Iowa again this weekend:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2015/02/07/d2dab55c-af14-11e4-9c91-e9d2f9fde644_story.html

[RogueBeaver]

Jindal attacking Jeb on education.

[RogueBeaver]

Pub Iowa prep.