Likely R.
Democrats should still contest it.
nani?
No use in giving up completely yet, simply because 2020 may yet end up being unexpectedly favorable to us. Still, it should be on the periphery of the seats we target.
Your post isn't in bad faith or anything, but I can't help but laugh at this. It's like Republicans leaving VA-10 on the table because 'maybe Donald Trump will get unexpectedly popular'.
Only Lean R for 2020. Going against the grain it was not the Iron Range that brought the Democrats down in this district. It was exurbs and rural red neck counties in the southern half of the district that doomed us holding this seat in 2018 while we had a counter wave.
The voters in Iron Range, while trending GOP, are still fairly enlightened. Unlikely this district will become rock solid Republican up and down the ballot.
Now MN-07, despite Klobuchar winning a thin victory there last year, is likely R. The redneck hicks are going to oust Peterson.
The weakening of Dem support in the Iron Range had just as much to do with southern and western portions already being Republican (and getting more Republican, too) in handing that district to the Republicans.
Poll
