Nate Cohn is so smart, yet really infuriates me on some days. This as a whole is such a bad set of tweets with so many easy discrepancies.
Love how pundits are cherrypicking polls to say "Biden is weak among Hispanics". The jury is out - for every Q-pac +10 poll, there is a NBC +45 poll.
Also, this was taken over a week ago, as things have gotten worse. And AZ Biden +5 is pretty much where the average has been, maybe a little above it. The highest I think I've seen is Biden +7 in AZ, so trying to spin this into a "good poll for Trump" is really a stretch here.
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1283739221409374210
I've looked at the other polls, and you are correct that this poll is older.
That said, I wouldn't be surprised at all if Biden is unusually strong in the midwest. After all, that was a big reason why Biden was chosen in the first place.