2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 625330 times)
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Harry
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« Reply #4575 on: November 04, 2020, 01:29:02 AM »

So, if Biden wins 270-268, will the Nebraska legislature try to take the 5th EV away from him?
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Harry
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« Reply #4576 on: November 04, 2020, 01:29:20 AM »

Is the presidential race over in North Carolina?  I don't see anyone talking about that state.  And what happened to the Senate race?

Still accepting mail-in ballots for a week (?)
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GALeftist
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« Reply #4577 on: November 04, 2020, 01:29:28 AM »

So, if Biden wins 270-268, will the Nebraska legislature try to take the 5th EV away from him?

lol civil war time
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jfern
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« Reply #4578 on: November 04, 2020, 01:29:54 AM »

Biden did poorly in upstate NY. First to lose Erie county since McGovern.
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #4579 on: November 04, 2020, 01:30:02 AM »

What is the current thinking on Nevada?  I have always worried about this state but people told me to shut up because it won't be close.  Now I'm worried again.
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Astatine
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« Reply #4580 on: November 04, 2020, 01:30:11 AM »

Btw, what is actually going on with Alaska?
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Storr
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« Reply #4581 on: November 04, 2020, 01:30:33 AM »

What is the current thinking on Nevada?  I have always worried about this state but people told me to shut up because it won't be close.  Now I'm worried again.
https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=9054
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soundchaser
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« Reply #4582 on: November 04, 2020, 01:30:38 AM »

What is the current thinking on Nevada?  I have always worried about this state but people told me to shut up because it won't be close.  Now I'm worried again.

It’s not close — Ralston’s call was definitely right, although maybe not for the reasons we expected.
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GALeftist
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« Reply #4583 on: November 04, 2020, 01:30:45 AM »

What is the current thinking on Nevada?  I have always worried about this state but people told me to shut up because it won't be close.  Now I'm worried again.

I think I saw that Biden improved a bit in Washoe and Trump improved a bit in Clark so it's basically a wash
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justfollowingtheelections
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« Reply #4584 on: November 04, 2020, 01:30:50 AM »

A lot of the arguments for why we can’t nominate Bernie were proven to be moot tonight, regardless of who wins

Whoever made such comments has no connection to reality.  It's unfortunate that we ended up with this clown Biden, but what can you do.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #4585 on: November 04, 2020, 01:31:07 AM »

Biden has got to spend the next 4 years appealing to Hispanics. Like, some of these results are embarrassing, especially against Trump.

I miss Tío Bernie.

In hindsight, Biden's poor performance in the Nevada caucuses should have been a warning sign for Democrats.

It's a primary with a lot of candidates. There's nothing to base it on really. He could have been the most popular candidate while being the first choice of few.

I'd disagree with you there. The primaries did provide indications back in 2016 of how Trump and Clinton would fare. Bernie Sanders did so well against Clinton because of the strong dislike for her among many elements of the Democratic base, and the population as a whole. And Trump rode the momentum of his unorthodox candidacy to the nomination and to the Presidency. And this year, in addition to Biden's weakness in Nevada, we also saw Trump garnering historic turnout in the Republican primaries and walking over his "opposition" (like Bill Weld).
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RI
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« Reply #4586 on: November 04, 2020, 01:31:17 AM »

Btw, what is actually going on with Alaska?

AP has Trump up 58-38 with 23% in.
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dax00
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« Reply #4587 on: November 04, 2020, 01:31:42 AM »

So, if Biden wins 270-268, will the Nebraska legislature try to take the 5th EV away from him?
If it's that close, I fully expect faithless elector shenanigans
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #4588 on: November 04, 2020, 01:31:56 AM »

Biden did poorly in upstate NY. First to lose Erie county since McGovern.
Bold claim to make when we have this many outstanding ballots.
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anthonyjg
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« Reply #4589 on: November 04, 2020, 01:32:05 AM »

Thank god Klobuchar and Buttigieg dropped out for spots in the Biden Administration
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #4590 on: November 04, 2020, 01:32:14 AM »

I love watching you twist your own predictions to seem justified in your months of boasting.

I hope the takeaway is that ad hominem-filled rages at anyone who posts a map that doesn't show a Biden landslide, both on the 2020 board and elsewhere, aren't factual and rational responses.

Are you serious? More ad hominem has been directed at me in this thread than I ever directed at anyone else. And I never “raged” at people for not showing a Biden landslide. I challenged certain doomers to explain their very specific, very unlikely predictions by backing it up with evidence and reason. Never got it, just “ad hominem.”
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Illini Moderate
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« Reply #4591 on: November 04, 2020, 01:32:25 AM »

Ill wholeheartedly listen to the alternative candidate argument once this is called. I really will and I honestly think I'm ready to hear it. But can we finish our results tonight
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GALeftist
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« Reply #4592 on: November 04, 2020, 01:32:27 AM »

Yo what just happened with the NC needle? moved from 95% Trump to 84%
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jfern
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« Reply #4593 on: November 04, 2020, 01:32:29 AM »

So, if Biden wins 270-268, will the Nebraska legislature try to take the 5th EV away from him?
If it's that close, I fully expect faithless elector shenanigans

Hayes got all his electors.
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justfollowingtheelections
unempprof
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« Reply #4594 on: November 04, 2020, 01:32:45 AM »

Is the presidential race over in North Carolina?  I don't see anyone talking about that state.  And what happened to the Senate race?

Still accepting mail-in ballots for a week (?)

So why is no one talking about NC then?  It's closer than any of the other states that haven't been called yet.
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jfern
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« Reply #4595 on: November 04, 2020, 01:33:08 AM »

Yo what just happened with the NC needle? moved from 95% Trump to 84%

It and GA changed a while ago.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #4596 on: November 04, 2020, 01:34:32 AM »



That's a big ratio. Feeling a bit better about the numbers here.
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Alcibiades
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« Reply #4597 on: November 04, 2020, 01:34:52 AM »

Biden did poorly in upstate NY. First to lose Erie county since McGovern.

I’m not sure Eerie is a done deal, but he did do poorly in the NE of the state.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
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« Reply #4598 on: November 04, 2020, 01:35:03 AM »

I'd just like to say that in both 2016 and 2020 when the DNC had to ratf#ck Bernie out of the nomination it foretold a serious issue in the coming general; WWC in the rust belt in 2016, Hispanics in 2020. The Democrats would do well to pay attention to this in 2024 but I know they won't
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Meclazine for Israel
Meclazine
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« Reply #4599 on: November 04, 2020, 01:35:24 AM »

WI - Biden on 47.2% (77% counted)
MI - Biden on 45% (61% counted)
PA - Biden on 42% (66% counted)

Biden's numbers have been growing, but he is too far back and not catching fast enough. Even if Pittsburgh's remaining votes were all Democrat, he wont make up the numbers there.

It now comes down to WI, MI and GA. Maybe NC with late ballots heavily in Biden's favour.

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