NC-Sen (PPP): Cunningham +6

[Alben Barkley]

I’m actually slightly surprised. I expected that many of the same people who were willing to vote for Trump — after the “grab ‘em by the pussy” tape, all the allegations of “misconduct” and worse, the affairs with porn stars, everything — would clutch their pearls and refuse to vote for a man who called a woman “historically sexy” and said he’d like to kiss her. Pleasantly surprised that doesn’t seem to be the case. As Cunningham is outrunning Biden here, that means there are probably still some Trump/Cunningham voters. Can’t fault them for being hypocrites in this case, I guess.

[Alben Barkley]

I'd give the story a little longer to spread; only 58% have heard of it so far. Democrats, independents and HRC all say that (in net) it makes them less likely to vote for him, for whatever that's worth, but the effect appears to be quite small. Post-Trump politics, eh?

October 4-5
911 voters
Changes with July 30-31 poll for Giffords

Cunningham 48% (n/c)
Tillis 42% (-2)
Undecided 11% (+3)

Nearly 60% of voters know about it and his margin has actually gone *up* since last time. I don't think it's resonating.

Yeah it’s only Tillis who has lost anything. Maybe people are more concerned by his COVID diagnosis than Cunningham’s “””””sexting.”””””