National Tracking Poll Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: National Tracking Poll Thread  (Read 311907 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #25 on: September 17, 2012, 01:55:04 PM »
Romney leading by +2 in that collection of swing states makes no sense if you look at Rasmussen's actual state by state polling, IMO.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #26 on: September 26, 2012, 11:51:44 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on September 26, 2012, 11:45:54 AM
Ipsos/Reuters:

49-42 Obama (LV)
48-39 Obama (RV)

Interview dates: Sept 21-25, 2012
Base: 1,340 registered voters (RV)
Base for Voting Intention: 1,122 Likely Voters (LV)

http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=12012

YouGov/Economist:

48-43 Obama (RV)

Conducted September 22-24, 2012
Margin of Error: +/- 4.7%

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/dqvatpi3fj/econToplines.pdf

Over a year of campaigning and a billion dollars spent and we're getting a repeat of 2008.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #27 on: September 26, 2012, 12:12:10 PM »
hahahaha

awesome.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #28 on: October 04, 2012, 02:42:27 PM »
The one bright side of last night is, that if turns out Romney is still losing to Obama, then we can be pretty sure this election is basically over. If last night is not enough to put Romney into the lead, then nothing is.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #29 on: October 05, 2012, 11:23:15 AM »
Obama also leads 50 (-1) to 45 (nc) in the battlegrounds according to Scott.

lol mitt sucks
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #30 on: October 06, 2012, 12:12:51 PM »
It's over.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #31 on: October 06, 2012, 12:21:26 PM »

Yes.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #32 on: October 06, 2012, 03:42:23 PM »
Thank god, the erosion may be stopping. Romney is still the favorite though. I'm dreading PPP's Wisconsin numbers tonight.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #33 on: October 07, 2012, 09:59:38 AM »
If Obama's approval is still at 50%, then I think this Romney surge may indeed be ephemeral.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #34 on: October 08, 2012, 09:09:23 AM »
Rasmussen: Obama 48 (+1), Romney 48 (-1)

poor mittens
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #35 on: October 08, 2012, 12:11:02 PM »
wow, Mitt Romney really, really sucks
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #36 on: October 09, 2012, 12:04:39 PM »
The RV numbers are actually Obama 49 (-1), Romney 47 (+1).
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #37 on: October 09, 2012, 01:48:36 PM »
It's officially time to panic.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #38 on: October 09, 2012, 03:41:11 PM »
Apparently Obama was back to a 50-45 margin in RV in Gallup on Sunday and Monday, erasing Romney's debate bounce. We'll see if that holds.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #39 on: October 09, 2012, 04:40:56 PM »
What do you mean "no sourcing"? And Gallup's likely voter screen is ridiculous. If they had had it in September, Romney would have likely been leading for most of the month.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #40 on: October 10, 2012, 12:01:19 PM »
OBAMA'S BACK

RV: Obama 50% (+1), Romney 45% (-1)
LV: Romney 48% (-1), Obama 48% (+1)
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #41 on: October 11, 2012, 12:11:02 PM »
Gallup

RV
Obama: 48% (-2)
Romney: 46% (+1)

LV
Romney: 48%
Obama: 47% (-1)

Today the last pre-debate day of the sample dropped off.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #42 on: October 11, 2012, 01:43:36 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 11, 2012, 01:10:28 PM
IBD/TIPP (Day 3):

47% Romney (-2)
46% Obama (+2)

lol...
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #43 on: October 12, 2012, 03:20:21 PM »
Reuters/Ipsos

Romney 46% (-1)
Obama 45% (+1)

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/12/usa-campaign-idUSL1E8LCAY820121012
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #44 on: October 12, 2012, 03:46:25 PM »
Quote from: Malarkey Voter on October 12, 2012, 03:31:40 PM

That poll actually contains some data from today, so if one were to read too much into this...then BIDEN BUMP!  Not that I believe that is the case

The Reuters write-up seemed to be pretty pro-Biden, but yeah it's too early to know anything really.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #45 on: October 13, 2012, 02:51:45 PM »
IBD/TIPP is unchanged from yesterday, with Obama still leading by 0.7%.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #46 on: October 14, 2012, 12:18:22 PM »
I think it's time to see some national polls again.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #47 on: October 14, 2012, 01:07:22 PM »
IBD/TIPP:

Obama: 46.7%
Romney: 46.0%

No change in the margin (0.7%) since yesterday.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #48 on: October 14, 2012, 06:11:55 PM »
Ipsos/Reuters
Obama 46% (+1)
Romney 45% (-1)

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/14/us-usa-campaign-debate-idUSBRE89D0IW20121014?feedType=RSS&feedName=politicsNews&utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter&dlvrit=574655
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #49 on: October 14, 2012, 06:52:18 PM »
It's really high time that pollsters like NBC/WSJ, ABC/WaPo, CNN, YouGov, etc. weigh in again on the national numbers. Basically all we've gotten since the debate are trackers and that Pew poll.
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