IL-Sen. 2016 Thread: Duckworth nearly triples Kirk Q2 fundraising

[sg0508]

One of the things Mark Kirk must have going for him is "recognition" from IL voters.  Do enough voters know who he is and what he stands for? If so, he's got a far better shot to pull 5-7% of the Democrats from the top of the ticket to go his way and possibly win a full term. If not though, he's going to have a far tougher time.  It's going to be tough either way given the turnout in a presidential year in blue IL.

[sg0508]

Kirk will likely need a middle/left third party candidate to take 5%.  His ceiling is very low to begin with and hundreds of thousands more Democrats will turnout in the presidential year.  It's not looking good.

[sg0508]

I like Kirk, but I think he's dead in the water. It's a presidential year and it looks like the Democratic Party of IL may finally get one right...they're nominating the right person.

[sg0508]

This is one of those races where as long as Duckworth keeps her mouth shut and nose clean until November, she probably ousts Kirk.  He needs a perfect environment and campaign to win in IL in a presidential year, and neither exist.