Rate NE-2 Now

[ON Progressive]

Still Tilt D. Eastman is just a standard Democrat, not an extremist in any way.

I also personally think ideology is secondary to how people vote in any case. A socialist won a Romney-Clinton VA house seat against the GOP Majority Whip in well off suburbs.

[Former Kentuckian]

I wonder if Warren Buffet will endorse Eastman...?

Absolutely not. Warren buffet is prehaps the greatest venture capitalist of all time. He’s not gonna throw his weight behind a Bernie bro

Eastman campaigned for Hillary. It's humorous to see her treated like an extremist simply because she's more in line with mainstream Democratic beliefs than Ashford (the guy who voted against DACA kids and said he'd have voted against the Affordable Care Act).

[ON Progressive]

I wonder if Warren Buffet will endorse Eastman...?

Absolutely not. Warren buffet is prehaps the greatest venture capitalist of all time. He’s not gonna throw his weight behind a Bernie bro

Eastman campaigned for Hillary. It's humorous to see her treated like an extremist simply because she's more in line with mainstream Democratic beliefs than Ashford (the guy who voted against DACA kids and said he'd have voted against the Affordable Care Act).

[IceSpear]

I wonder if Warren Buffet will endorse Eastman...?

Absolutely not. Warren buffet is prehaps the greatest venture capitalist of all time. He’s not gonna throw his weight behind a Bernie bro

Eastman campaigned for Hillary. It's humorous to see her treated like an extremist simply because she's more in line with mainstream Democratic beliefs than Ashford (the guy who voted against DACA kids and said he'd have voted against the Affordable Care Act).

Atlas has drunk the full dose of "we need Evan Bayh/Mark Warner or we're doomed in 2008" kool-aid. They think Dems needed to nominate a Dixiecrat to win a D+1 district carried by Obama and Clinton. lol

[Progressive Pessimist]

Still a Tossup.

[VPH]

Lean R. It was a tossup with Ashford.

[Alabama_Indy10]

Lean R. It was a tossup with Ashford.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Lean R. It was a tossup with Ashford.

This. I can see it becoming a tossup again fairly soon though.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Tossup, same as it was before, but with a wider range of possible outcomes.

Ashford was a known quantity, Eastman is less so. Given that Ashford had a reputation for being a lazy campaigner, maybe she wins by more than he could have. Alternatively, maybe the district doesn't feel as comfortable voting for someone it isn't already familiar with, and maybe she does worse than Ashford would have. Either way, there are more unknowns to deal with, so we have a more uncertain race.

[Chief Justice Keef]

Tossup -> Tossup

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Leans Republican. Someone this liberal is not going to have an easy time getting a district full of rich suburbanites to vote for her.

[Xing]

Tilt D before, Tilt D now. Ashford was massively overrated, and while Eastman isn't a great candidate, her winning is not an "own goal" lol. A better candidate would make this Lean/Likely D, but oh well.

[Politician]

Ashford sucked, he couldn't even hold the district in 2016. Lean D.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Leans Republican. Someone this liberal is not going to have an easy time getting a district full of rich suburbanites to vote for her.

The median income in NE-02 is far lower than New Jersey.

[UncleSam]

Pure tossup, firearm to me, Bacon by 1.5 points.

Why do you consistently need to have a gun specifically pointed at your head to be willing to rate a house race

This is Lean R Bacon is clearly the favorite, national environment could pull Eastman over the line but she’s not a very good fit for the district ideologically and other pickups with more establishment friendly candidates will probably be prioritized for national funds.

[Ohioguy29]

Tilt D before, Tilt D now. Ashford was massively overrated, and while Eastman isn't a great candidate, her winning is not an "own goal" lol. A better candidate would make this Lean/Likely D, but oh well.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Leans Republican. Someone this liberal is not going to have an easy time getting a district full of rich suburbanites to vote for her.

The median income in NE-02 is far lower than New Jersey.

New Jersey does not have the same cost of living as Omaha, Nebraska, nor does it have similar demographics.

[Torie]

Tossup, same as it was before, but with a wider range of possible outcomes.

Ashford was a known quantity, Eastman is less so. Given that Ashford had a reputation for being a lazy campaigner, maybe she wins by more than he could have. Alternatively, maybe the district doesn't feel as comfortable voting for someone it isn't already familiar with, and maybe she does worse than Ashford would have. Either way, there are more unknowns to deal with, so we have a more uncertain race.

I am not sure I agree with the tossup rating (I suspect the Pubs have an edge), but I think the greater range of possible outcomes comment is very insightful.