Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
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Atlas Institution
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« on: June 16, 2020, 12:54:13 AM » |
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Depends on the environment and Biden's popularity really. PA is a very polarized state and typically is close to the national result and we will see if it is more right or left than that in 2020 but it typically is in that narrow range and has been for several cycles.
Candidate quality only gets you so far, the cycle ultimately has the final say and there were many people who were presumed to be a shoo in, typically of the populist Democratic variety, who ended up getting caught in the wrong year and losing.
Of course if Trump wins reelection, then Democrats probably sweep PA in 2022.
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