Fox News National poll: Clinton 46 Trump 42 (user search)
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  Fox News National poll: Clinton 46 Trump 42 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Fox News National poll: Clinton 46 Trump 42  (Read 1443 times)
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,066
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« on: September 23, 2015, 06:01:42 PM »
Massive gender gap:

men:
Trump 49%
Clinton 39%

women:
Clinton 52%
Trump 35%
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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2015, 11:24:40 PM »
Quote from: Grad Students are the Worst on September 25, 2015, 02:35:02 PM
Quote from: King on September 24, 2015, 03:51:02 PM
Quote from: Mr. Morden on September 23, 2015, 06:01:42 PM
Massive gender gap:

men:
Trump 49%
Clinton 39%

women:
Clinton 52%
Trump 35%


No way it would just be +4 with that gap. Women out vote men 53-47 generally.

(0.47*0.49)+(0.53*0.35) = 0.2303 + 0.1855 = 0.4158 for Trump

(0.47*0.39)+(0.53*0.52) = 0.1855 + 0.2756 = 0.4589 for Clinton

45.89% - 41.58% = Clinton +4.31% => Clinton +4

Tongue

Yep.  Not sure how King is getting "No way it would just be +4 with that gap" from these #s.
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