2020 New York Redistricting

[Former President tack50]

Speaking of this, here is a map I made a while back that basically tried to be a "fair" and "least change possible" map:





https://davesredistricting.org/join/45eee988-fb0a-4872-986f-2f402b6939ea

Since NY does not have Clinton vs Trump numbers, I will just include the PVI

NY-01: R+5
NY-02: EVEN
NY-03: EVEN
NY-04: D+6 (50% white, 23% black, 19% Hispanic, 9% Asian)
NY-05: D+40
NY-06: D+20 (44% Asian, 25% White, 23% Hispanic, 8% Black)
NY-07: D+27 (40% Hispanic, 34% White, 21% Asian, 6% Black)
NY-08: D+43 (43% Black, 31% White, 23% Hispanic, 6% Asian)
NY-09: D+27 (44% Black, 34% White, 13% Asian, 11% Hispanic)
NY-10: D+35 (52% White, 22% Asian, 19% Hispanic, 8% Black)
NY-11: R+2 (58% White, 18% Hispanic, 15% Asian, 10% Black)
NY-12: D+33 (59% White, 16% Black, 14% Hispanic, 13% Asian)
NY-13: D+34 (54% Hispanic, 24% White, 23% Black, 6% Asian)
NY-14: D+32 (51% Hispanic, 29% Black, 19% White, 6% Asian)
NY-15: D+38 (50% Hispanic, 42% Black, 11% White)
NY-16: D+7
NY-17: R+2
NY-18: R+2
NY-19: D+2
NY-20: D+6
NY-21: R+5
NY-22: R+3
NY-23: D+6
NY-24: R+12
NY-25: D+8

[Former President tack50]

Since people were saying that a 26 district map was hard to do, here is my attempt at a Dem gerrymander with 26 seats (A Dem gerrymander is the likeliest scenario?)



NYC inset:



https://davesredistricting.org/join/e346a9f2-e25e-4199-9718-278604bafdc2

NY-01: R+6
NY-02: D+1
NY-03: D+1
NY-04: D+4
NY-05: D+32 (46% black)
NY-06: D+23 (44% asian)
NY-07: D+37 (51% hispanic)
NY-08: D+24 (41% black)
NY-09: D+33 (47% black)
NY-10: D+33
NY-11: D+4
NY-12: D+30
NY-13: D+44 (49% hispanic)
NY-14: D+35 (49% hispanic)
NY-15: D+34 (58% hispanic)
NY-16: D+18
NY-17: D+3
NY-18: D+1
NY-19: D+4
NY-20: EVEN
NY-21: R+10
NY-22: D+8
NY-23: R+6
NY-24: D+7
NY-25: R+11
NY-26: D+8

My thoughts:

-With 26 districts one of the districts in NYC+Long Island has to be the one that gets cut I think. I suppose you could cut one of the 2 Long Island districts, though this configuration takes out Bowman instead

-If you don't cut one of the Long Island districts, it is very easy to change the 2 R districts into just 1 (admittedly the other one is still a tossup/Lean D; not Safe D), while keeping the other Dems in the area equally as safe as they are now

-For the upstate districts I basically tried to give every 2018 Dem a seat that was just as safe as the one they currently hold, except in Tonko's case (who gets a D+4 district instead of his current D+7 one)

-Beyond that, I tried to reduce the number of R sinks to the minimum possible, which seems to be 4 (3 upstate + 1 Long Island). There is also a tossup district. (and several Lean D districts)

Of course given that the newest data was the 2012-2016 composite I imagine that these numbers would be outdated and that this would be a dummymander but still.