Which is more likely to flip? Arizona and Georgia or Iowa and Ohio (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 20, 2024, 10:13:31 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Which is more likely to flip? Arizona and Georgia or Iowa and Ohio (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Which is more likely to flip? Arizona and Georgia or Iowa and Ohio  (Read 1613 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,112


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P
« on: November 29, 2018, 12:55:07 PM »
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,112


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P
« Reply #1 on: November 29, 2018, 12:56:14 PM »
Quote from: Cory Booker on November 29, 2018, 07:56:59 AM
Kyl is gonna retire, so that Dems don't get that seat, IA is due to fact it gets Dems to 272.

Um no Just winning back MI/PA and WI would give the Dems 278
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,112


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P
« Reply #2 on: November 30, 2018, 12:37:53 AM »
« Edited: November 30, 2018, 12:44:48 AM by Old School Republican »
Quote from: Michael Bloomberg on November 30, 2018, 12:33:12 AM
This. Georgia (and Texas) will be ahead of Iowa by 2024, however. Right now, I'm thinking there is a >60% chance AZ, PA, WI, and MI vote Dem, which would extend downwards to 45% FL, 40% IA, 35% GA, 25% OH, and 20% TX.

If Dems win the Presidency in 2020 with less than 320 EV , TX will take a longer time to flip . Especially if that Dem is Bernie or Warren.


If Dems win the WH in 2020 without OH and TX, TX probably stays solidly GOP in the 2022 midterms and in 2024 probably barely even contest it. TX is not going from Likely R to Tilt D with a Dem in the WH. The most probable scenario is it stays at Likely R in that case.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 13 queries.