Will Georgia have more population than Ohio by 2030?

[hopper]

Of course things can change.  There might be a rush back to the rust belt for some reason.

Or, more likely, the Sunbelt boom ends.  Isn't Georgia's growth in particular is driven largely by the explosion of the Atlanta metro area?  And a large portion of that growth is coming from a particular subsection of the US population (African Americans)?  And, IIRC, the Atlanta area is already experiencing water issues.  I'm not sure how much more it can keep growing, and if rural Georgia keeps declining like it has been...

On the other hand, I could very easily see Georgia passing Ohio within a couple decades, but there are so many variables at play here.

With regard to African-American growth specifically, said drop-off has been even larger. Year-to-year Census estimates (shown here; lightest-colored set of numbers/lines) are not exactly the most accurate, but Georgia's black share of the population was growing by one percentage point every three years throughout the 00s (from 28.7% in 2000 to 31.5% in 2010). From 2010-2013, that number remained flat (31.5% in 2010; 31.4% in 2013).

Well "US Census Quickfacts" has that in 2010 Georgia had a 30.5% Black Population and in 2014 had a 31.5% Black Population.

[hopper]

Georgia will probably be neck-and-neck with Ohio by 2030. With that said, Georgia is on pace for its slowest decade of growth since the 1950s.

Yes Georgia's population is on track to grow by 10.8% from 2010-2020. In the 50's(1950-1960) the growth was 10.3%. Numbers wise the population growth is close to where it was in the 80's(+1 million people) for the decade of the 2010's. In the 90's the population growth was 1.7 million people and in the 2000's the population growth was 1.5 million people.

[hopper]

Of course things can change.  There might be a rush back to the rust belt for some reason.

Or, more likely, the Sunbelt boom ends.  Isn't Georgia's growth in particular is driven largely by the explosion of the Atlanta metro area?  And a large portion of that growth is coming from a particular subsection of the US population (African Americans)?  And, IIRC, the Atlanta area is already experiencing water issues.  I'm not sure how much more it can keep growing, and if rural Georgia keeps declining like it has been...

On the other hand, I could very easily see Georgia passing Ohio within a couple decades, but there are so many variables at play here.

The water issues of Atlanta are wildly overstated, largely due to the fact that the region was experiencing a record-breaking drought in the early oughts.

I think Congressmen Tom Price(R-GA) says he would like to see money spent on upgrading the water systems in Atlanta because they are 100 years old.