Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration (user search)
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May 10, 2024, 04:34:57 AM
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  Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration (search mode)
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Author Topic: Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration  (Read 342892 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,182
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: May 10, 2021, 12:39:06 PM »
Youngkin could turn out to be a problem for McAuliffe.

VA voters might have a Dem. fatigue by November and elect him (barely), but Gov. Murphy should easily hang on in NJ.

A 1R, 1D win would be the same result for Biden as Reagan in 1981.

In the 40 years in between, the new President always lost both races ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,182
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: May 10, 2021, 12:56:00 PM »
Quote from: Mr.Phips on May 10, 2021, 12:51:37 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on May 10, 2021, 12:39:06 PM
Youngkin could turn out to be a problem for McAuliffe.

VA voters might have a Dem. fatigue by November and elect him (barely), but Gov. Murphy should easily hang on in NJ.

A 1R, 1D win would be the same result for Biden as Reagan in 1981.

In the 40 years in between, the new President always lost both races ...

Dems won the Virginia race in 2013.

Anyway, Dems losing either race in November would not be a good sign for them.

You need to read my post again.

Obama wasn’t new in 2013.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,182
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: May 10, 2021, 01:43:12 PM »
Quote from: WB on May 10, 2021, 01:37:10 PM
This just means the GOP is gonna spend millions more than they would with Chase to still lose by mid-high single digits

Nope.

This race will end up relatively close.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,182
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: May 11, 2021, 12:10:18 PM »
« Edited: May 11, 2021, 08:50:36 PM by Virginiá »
My first Mason-Dixon poll prediction:

46% T-Mac (D)
44% Youngkin (R)
  1% Other
  9% Undecided
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,182
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #4 on: May 11, 2021, 12:33:33 PM »
Quote from: VAR on May 11, 2021, 12:33:05 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on May 11, 2021, 12:10:18 PM
First Mason-Dixon poll:

46% T-Mac (D)
44% Youngkin (R)
  1% Other
  9% Undecided

Link?

Prediction.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,182
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #5 on: May 11, 2021, 01:11:56 PM »
Should be noted:

Trafalgar nailed the R-primary with a poll conducted last week.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,182
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #6 on: May 12, 2021, 12:55:33 PM »
A lot of Dems who usually vote in Presidential elections will sit this race out.

Combined with a financial edge from Youngkin, this will be a 50-49 race in either direction.

McAuliffe will certainly not win by 2% or more (you can quote me after the election).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,182
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #7 on: May 17, 2021, 11:07:06 AM »
Why isn't anyone polling the VA Gov. race, now that the candidates are set in stone ?

The Dems still have an alibi primary, but no other than McAuliffe will win there ...

I'd even like a Trafalgar poll from there.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,182
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #8 on: May 21, 2021, 11:00:04 AM »
Richmond Area Power Poll:

43% TMac
38% Youngkin

https://www.henricocitizen.com/articles/richmond-power-poll-respondents-weigh-in-on-state-elections/

Unscientific poll, but could this spell trouble for the Dems ?

Richmond and suburbs are heavily Dem ...
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