Australia, Queensland - 21 March 2009

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Election this weekend... the excitement is rising.

Here's to another very very close result just like in the NT and WA.

I'd rather it be like NT than WA

[Filuwaúrdjan]

62.3% in...

Labor 43.3%, 51 seats
LibNat 40.8%, 31 seats
Greens 8.2%, 0 seats
Others 7.7%, 4 seats

Three seats not called yet; Labor lead in all of them.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

The four uncalled seats are:

Chatsworth: Labor lead (50.2). 73 or so counted. Southern Brisbane.
Cleveland: LNP now lead (50.5). 68% or so counted. Eastern Brisbane 'burbs.
Gaven: Labor lead (50.7). 35% or so counted. Fast growing area just west of the Gold Coast proper.
Redlands: Labor lead (50.4). 71% or so counted. More eastern Brisbane 'burbs; actually borders Cleveland, I think.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Aspley: 54.4 with 71 in. Northern Brisbane; a traditional Liberal seat.
Burdekin: 52.4 with 72 in. Northern Queensland; a technical gain as the Labor majority was purely a creation of redistricting (which be odd; the swing looks to be relatively small).
Clayfield: 56.0 with 69 in. Another technical gain. Inner Northern Brisbane.
Cleveland (mentioned earlier).
Coomera: 51.7 with 69 in. Gold Coast. Double digit swing.
Hervey Bay: 71.4 (your eyesight is fine) with 57 in. Covers, er, Hervey Bay. Massive swing; over 20%.
Indooroopilly: 55.8 with 69 in. Western Brisbane 'burbs. Was held by that guy who defected from Labor to the Greens. Doesn't seem certain whether Lee has outpolled his old party or not.
Mudgeeraba: 54.2 with 70 in. More edge-of-Gold Coast.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

LNP pull ahead in Gaven

[Filuwaúrdjan]

The Hervey Bay figures now look sane; LNP on 55.4 rather than seventy-something.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

With 70% counted...

Labor 42.7, 53 seats (ABC projection)
LNP    41.1, 32 seats '' ''
Greens 8.2%
Others 8.0%, '' ''

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I like the Qld electoral commishe's phrasing for "independent or Green among top two" on the 2pp table - "Incorrect Candidate Selected". Damn voters, selecting incorrect candidates!