Slovak Elections and Politics | Fico the Fourth 🇸🇰

[Walmart_shopper]

Wait, how on Earth is Kotleba-L'SNS in third? Granted, it's "only" 10% but that is still a ton of support for a literal neo-nazi party!

It's the same story as with any other far-right party, really. Isolated rural/rust belt areas in a dead end economic situation that everyone is leaving in droves. Plus the problem of Roma ghettos, the (admittedly justified) grumbling they bring, which tends to quickly turn into 1960s Alabama level racism, even among the more 'educated'. Plus, during WW2, Slovakia wasn't occupied by Germany in return for installing a collaborationist regime that many people view positively even today.

What's more troubling is that ĽSNS are more popular among young people. Why, I have no idea. Frustration and edginess?

Does Slovakia have a brain drain problem with young people leaving for other EU countries? Poland, of course, has the same problem, and one theory is thst young people in Poland (those who stsy) are so right wing because they feel left behind by their more successful, adventurous peers who leave. There is a kind of ressentiment that grows into a xenophobic insularity.

[Walmart_shopper]

Sme Rodina at 75%.

K.

[Walmart_shopper]

So can someone tell me if my read on the election is correct? Slovak elections are messier and more fragmented than Brazilian elections

A liberal-conservative bloc is likely, though far from guaranteed, to unseat the socially conservative Socialist Smer party. Practically, that would mean a more pro-Europe, liberalized economic and foreign policy and a more socially liberal approach towards migrants and lgbt issues. If somehow Smer pulls it out then they will likely need to ally with actual Nazis to get a majority in parliament.

How accurate is this?

[Walmart_shopper]

Is there a meaningful difference between Smer and PiS in Poland?

[Walmart_shopper]

 Am I reading this correctly that PS Spolu needs 7% and might not get in? and that Smer, LSNS and SR might have a majority? Would they work together to stop an OLANO government from being formed?

I mean, I assume SaS and ZL will supporr OLANO, and those parties slipping over the threshold should make all the difference. Including those parties an OLANO-led bloc has a 77-71 lead in terms of seat distribution. But, yes, Caputova's Progressive party will likely not make it, but I would imagine they would probably be harder to work with than ZL and SaS, who are closer to the right wing, economically liberal position of OLANO.

A weird result, for sure.

[Walmart_shopper]

I literally cannot believe how conservative Slovakia is.

[Walmart_shopper]

 Am I reading this correctly that PS Spolu needs 7% and might not get in? and that Smer, LSNS and SR might have a majority? Would they work together to stop an OLANO government from being formed?

I mean, I assume SaS and ZL will supporr OLANO, and those parties slipping over the threshold should make all the difference. Including those parties an OLANO-led bloc has a 77-71 lead in terms of seat distribution. But, yes, Caputova's Progressive party will likely not make it, but I would imagine they would probably be harder to work with than ZL and SaS, who are closer to the right wing, economically liberal position of OLANO.

A weird result, for sure.

Matovič (Oľano) and Kollár (Sme rodina) have been getting friendly with each other since the results came out - the latter doing a 180° from populist rants to saying how he wants to join a government where he can help the people who were left behind etc. He's actually pretty lefty on economics, and Matovič and Kiska (Za ľudí) are very different from the libertarian Sulík (SaS). That makes Oľano+Sme rodina+Za ľudí the most compatible coalition ideologically. 82 seats is more than enough for a defection-proof majority.

So this would actually be a considerably more right wing government than currently exists right now , correct?