CA-49: ??? vs. ???

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Mike Levin

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Why do you consider that Chavez is a sure thing for the general?
He is a very poor fundraiser and his relationship with the state party seems problematic.

Chavez has a huge lead in the polls.

Every poll at that link shows Chavez losing...

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Why do you consider that Chavez is a sure thing for the general?
He is a very poor fundraiser and his relationship with the state party seems problematic.

Chavez has a huge lead in the polls.

Every poll at that link shows Chavez losing...

Look at the primary poll. I meant the primary, not general. Chavez +7 over Harkey in the primary.

I thought you meant over the Democrats, my bad.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Sara Jacobs SURGE. Applegate, please drop out.

Only with descriptions.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Sara Jacobs SURGE. Applegate, please drop out.

Only with descriptions.

The last poll had descriptions too, so it's obvious that Applegate is losing ground badly.

The more relevant number is the pre-description one imo.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

The Orange County Young Democrats endorsed Sara Jacobs earlier this week. After a straw poll of 300 members with a ranked ballot. She also got endorsements from numerous Democrat clubs, including the San Diego AAPI, African-American, and Chicano clubs.

Emily’s List’s Super PAC is also spending $500,000 on television ad buys and targeted voter mail advertisements supporting Sara Jacobs too. With Applegate tumbling and Levin struggling to Gain traction, I think she can sneak into the top 2.

Hahahahaha...no.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Q1 Fundraising, brackets is cash-on-hand. I removed any self-funding from the final total.

Mike Levin (D) - $315,000 ($515,000)
Sara Jacobs (D) - $300,000 ($1,094,000)
Diane Harkey (R) - $283,000 ($179,000)
Kristin Gaspar (R) - $261,000 ($185,000)
Doug Applegate (D) - $129,000 ($236,000)
Rocky Chavez (R) - $103,000 ($185,000)
Paul Kerr (D) - $34,000 ($345,000)

Paul Kerr pumped in almost $1 million into his campaign and spent most of it this quarter. Rocky Chavez put $100,000 of his own into his campaign account, but otherwise I didn’t see any other self-funding this quarter.

Most of Jacobs’ CoH is from contributions from her dad, just sayin’

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I know he's a former republican but how is Gil Cisneros a ghoul?

He's only running because he's rich and bored.

No, that would be Thorburn.  Cisneros is easily the best candidate running in that seat and should win the run-off if/when he finishes in the top two.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I know he's a former republican but how is Gil Cisneros a ghoul?

He's only running because he's rich and bored.

No, that would be Thorburn.  Cisneros is easily the best candidate running in that seat and should win the run-off if/when he finishes in the top two.

Not at all. Thorburn's politics are very earnest and rooted in his background as both a union organizer and as a brother of a man who died because he couldn't afford medication - There's a reason his campaign is unionized, after all.

I don't dispute that Cisneros is favored, though I can say with certainty that neither would have any real trouble winning the general election in a 52-43 Clinton seat in a climate like this.

I didn’t know his campaign was unionized.  I guess I’d be pretty happy with him or Cisneros, although I’d prefer Cisneros.