Describe the demorgaphics of this hypothetical county by voting history (user search)
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  Describe the demorgaphics of this hypothetical county by voting history (search mode)
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Author Topic: Describe the demorgaphics of this hypothetical county by voting history  (Read 6547 times)
Schiff for Senate
CentristRepublican
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Posts: 12,313
United States


« on: April 21, 2022, 11:16:02 AM »

1992: 40 39 21
1996: 42 44 11 1
2000: 47 46 7
2004: 49 48 3
2008: 53 45 2
2012: 51 48 1
2016: 48 41 5  3 1
2020: 55 42 3

Southern majority-white county with a high black population.

Mine is actually a real county. Try to identify what region of the country it is in (or even which state).

2020: 66-32% R
2016: 57-33% R
2012: 53-44% R
2008: 59-40% R
2004: 62-37% R
2000: 55-41% R
1996: 52-34% D
1992: 42.5-36% D
1988: 52.5-46% D
1984: 52-48% D
1980: 54-41% D
1976: 61-36% D
1972: 52-46% D
1968: 65-27% D
1964: 74-26.5% D
1960: 70-30% D
1956: 60-40% D
1952: 69-31% D
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Schiff for Senate
CentristRepublican
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*****
Posts: 12,313
United States


« Reply #1 on: April 21, 2022, 08:22:49 PM »
« Edited: April 21, 2022, 08:29:02 PM by CentristRepublican »

1992: 40 39 21
1996: 42 44 11 1
2000: 47 46 7
2004: 49 48 3
2008: 53 45 2
2012: 51 48 1
2016: 48 41 5  3 1
2020: 55 42 3

Southern majority-white county with a high black population.

Mine is actually a real county. Try to identify what region of the country it is in (or even which state).

2020: 66-32% R
2016: 57-33% R
2012: 53-44% R
2008: 59-40% R
2004: 62-37% R
2000: 55-41% R
1996: 52-34% D
1992: 42.5-36% D
1988: 52.5-46% D
1984: 52-48% D
1980: 54-41% D
1976: 61-36% D
1972: 52-46% D
1968: 65-27% D
1964: 74-26.5% D
1960: 70-30% D
1956: 60-40% D
1952: 69-31% D

CR's county is in rural Arizona, and ChristianMan's county is a mostly WWC county in Northern Appalachia

R/D/3rd Party

1908: 48/35/17 (mostly Socialist and Prohibition)
1912: 0/39/61 (Progressive)
1916: 41/49
1920: 65/28
1924: 68/32
1928: 68/31
1932: 29/67
1936: 38/61
1940: 47/53
1944: 54/46
1948: 53/45
1952: 62/37
1956: 56/44
1960: 54/46
1964: 48/52
1968: 53/37
1972: 62/35
1976: 50/48
1980: 56/37
1984: 62/37
1988: 55/44
1992: 39/44/18 (Mostly Reform)
1996: 37/55
2000: 43/54
2004: 46/52
2008: 36/62
2012: 33/65
2016: 26/68
2020: 37/61

Majority-Hispanic county whose Hispanic population just keeps growing.

Also, I'm impressed - you got it exactly right! The county was Greenlee County, AZ.

This next one's fictional.
2020: Biden+6.3
2016: Clinton+11.3
2012: Obama+2.4
2008: Obama+0.15
2004: Bush+6.7
2000: Bush+10.0
1996: Dole+6.6 (Perot garnered 4.3%)
1992: Bush+9.0 (Perot garnered 8.1%)
1988: Bush+33.3
1984: Reagan+45.8
1980: Reagan+44.9
1976: Ford+30.0
1972: Nixon+55.0
1968: Nixon+26.6 (Wallace garnered 14.6%)
1964: Goldwater+0.02
1960: Nixon+17.7
1956: Eisenhower+45.0
1952: Eisenhower+44.3

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Schiff for Senate
CentristRepublican
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,313
United States


« Reply #2 on: April 21, 2022, 10:56:10 PM »

1992: 40 39 21
1996: 42 44 11 1
2000: 47 46 7
2004: 49 48 3
2008: 53 45 2
2012: 51 48 1
2016: 48 41 5  3 1
2020: 55 42 3

Southern majority-white county with a high black population.

Mine is actually a real county. Try to identify what region of the country it is in (or even which state).

2020: 66-32% R
2016: 57-33% R
2012: 53-44% R
2008: 59-40% R
2004: 62-37% R
2000: 55-41% R
1996: 52-34% D
1992: 42.5-36% D
1988: 52.5-46% D
1984: 52-48% D
1980: 54-41% D
1976: 61-36% D
1972: 52-46% D
1968: 65-27% D
1964: 74-26.5% D
1960: 70-30% D
1956: 60-40% D
1952: 69-31% D

CR's county is in rural Arizona, and ChristianMan's county is a mostly WWC county in Northern Appalachia

R/D/3rd Party

1908: 48/35/17 (mostly Socialist and Prohibition)
1912: 0/39/61 (Progressive)
1916: 41/49
1920: 65/28
1924: 68/32
1928: 68/31
1932: 29/67
1936: 38/61
1940: 47/53
1944: 54/46
1948: 53/45
1952: 62/37
1956: 56/44
1960: 54/46
1964: 48/52
1968: 53/37
1972: 62/35
1976: 50/48
1980: 56/37
1984: 62/37
1988: 55/44
1992: 39/44/18 (Mostly Reform)
1996: 37/55
2000: 43/54
2004: 46/52
2008: 36/62
2012: 33/65
2016: 26/68
2020: 37/61

Majority-Hispanic county whose Hispanic population just keeps growing.

Also, I'm impressed - you got it exactly right! The county was Greenlee County, AZ.

This next one's fictional.
2020: Biden+6.3
2016: Clinton+11.3
2012: Obama+2.4
2008: Obama+0.15
2004: Bush+6.7
2000: Bush+10.0
1996: Dole+6.6 (Perot garnered 4.3%)
1992: Bush+9.0 (Perot garnered 8.1%)
1988: Bush+33.3
1984: Reagan+45.8
1980: Reagan+44.9
1976: Ford+30.0
1972: Nixon+55.0
1968: Nixon+26.6 (Wallace garnered 14.6%)
1964: Goldwater+0.02
1960: Nixon+17.7
1956: Eisenhower+45.0
1952: Eisenhower+44.3



Former rural Western county which became suburbanized during the '90s.

How do you explain the large rightward trend in 2020 though?
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Schiff for Senate
CentristRepublican
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,313
United States


« Reply #3 on: April 21, 2022, 11:09:48 PM »

1992: 40 39 21
1996: 42 44 11 1
2000: 47 46 7
2004: 49 48 3
2008: 53 45 2
2012: 51 48 1
2016: 48 41 5  3 1
2020: 55 42 3

Southern majority-white county with a high black population.

Mine is actually a real county. Try to identify what region of the country it is in (or even which state).

2020: 66-32% R
2016: 57-33% R
2012: 53-44% R
2008: 59-40% R
2004: 62-37% R
2000: 55-41% R
1996: 52-34% D
1992: 42.5-36% D
1988: 52.5-46% D
1984: 52-48% D
1980: 54-41% D
1976: 61-36% D
1972: 52-46% D
1968: 65-27% D
1964: 74-26.5% D
1960: 70-30% D
1956: 60-40% D
1952: 69-31% D

CR's county is in rural Arizona, and ChristianMan's county is a mostly WWC county in Northern Appalachia

R/D/3rd Party

1908: 48/35/17 (mostly Socialist and Prohibition)
1912: 0/39/61 (Progressive)
1916: 41/49
1920: 65/28
1924: 68/32
1928: 68/31
1932: 29/67
1936: 38/61
1940: 47/53
1944: 54/46
1948: 53/45
1952: 62/37
1956: 56/44
1960: 54/46
1964: 48/52
1968: 53/37
1972: 62/35
1976: 50/48
1980: 56/37
1984: 62/37
1988: 55/44
1992: 39/44/18 (Mostly Reform)
1996: 37/55
2000: 43/54
2004: 46/52
2008: 36/62
2012: 33/65
2016: 26/68
2020: 37/61

Majority-Hispanic county whose Hispanic population just keeps growing.

Also, I'm impressed - you got it exactly right! The county was Greenlee County, AZ.

This next one's fictional.
2020: Biden+6.3
2016: Clinton+11.3
2012: Obama+2.4
2008: Obama+0.15
2004: Bush+6.7
2000: Bush+10.0
1996: Dole+6.6 (Perot garnered 4.3%)
1992: Bush+9.0 (Perot garnered 8.1%)
1988: Bush+33.3
1984: Reagan+45.8
1980: Reagan+44.9
1976: Ford+30.0
1972: Nixon+55.0
1968: Nixon+26.6 (Wallace garnered 14.6%)
1964: Goldwater+0.02
1960: Nixon+17.7
1956: Eisenhower+45.0
1952: Eisenhower+44.3



Former rural Western county which became suburbanized during the '90s.

How do you explain the large rightward trend in 2020 though?

Nevada trended right as a whole mostly due to Clark County but Trump managed to flip at least one county in Colorado.



Then maybe what you're saying is my county has an urban center but also some suburbs?

Also, the CO example is misleading - the Clinton-Trump county there was a rural Hispanic county (and nothing notable about rural, Hispanic counties flipping red in 2020 - there were also a lot in TX).
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