How do you see the next British General Election going? Who wins?

[Blair]

There are also two unknowns; a new set of boundaries for the seats & talk of changes to the funding limits for campaigns- both on paper benefit the conservatives, especially the later. The party is so weak in parts of the country that they have to pay people to hand out their leaflets.

The next election is at best going to be a chance for Labour to recover ground; both in marginal seats it won in 2017 but then lost in 2019 & in seats that they lost for the first time in a generation.

[Blair]

I'm not sure the Media 'lionised' remain; it was just the media that remain supporters read did so.

The media when it actually reported on the Lib Dems in the last election was quite brutal as they just asked two questions- why did you support x in coalition & why do you want to overturn the referendum?

On the subject of newspapers my uncle reads the Daily Mail for the coverage of the royal family & celebrity gossip while being a lifelong socialist (and the son of a communist)

Equally I read the Times- partly for work due to their business section/ST reporting but also because their cricket coverage is good & I enjoy the obituarys/book reviews. I ignore most of the comment stuff (even the stuff I agree with) and despise their support for the anti-trans rights campaign- people's media comsumption is very weird!

[Blair]

A very feasible scenario is that Labour end up as the largest party, but short of a majority. It will be very interesting to see what plays out from there. The easiest arrangement for all concerned would be some sort of agreement between Labour and the Lib Dems, with the Greens, Plaid and the SDLP potentially providing any additional seats needed to get a majority. But what if those parties’ seats are not enough to get Labour over the line? Will they dare to make a deal with the SNP?

The only 'easy' way for Labour to rely on SNP votes is if there is somehow IndyRef 2 before the next general election & better together MK.2 somehow wins... but for that to happen along with a Labour GE victory would be rather shocking.

Anything else becomes tricky; but I still feel that Labour would trade a referendum for getting into Government.

It's not often talked about but the Lib Dems becoming such a rump has made it much harder for Labour to govern; even if they had 30-40 seats it would give Labour a much easier life to govern.

Its only a hunch but I feel that any Government that relies on more than one large party & several smaller parties is doomed to fall quite quickly in our system