KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/phillipmbailey/status/1270780829447458816

[Xing]

Hoping for Booker, but realistically expecting McGrath.

[Heebie Jeebie]

https://twitter.com/phillipmbailey/status/1270780829447458816

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1270786160806244353

[Pollster]

https://twitter.com/phillipmbailey/status/1270780829447458816

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1270786160806244353

The Democratic nominee against McConnell will have absolutely zero trouble raising significant money, and the national Dems know that. They're wary of swapping in Booker for other reasons.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Lord help me, I'm going to start volunteering for a Berniecrat next week. They're both going to lose to Turtle but Booker is better and I want McGrath banished from politics.

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/phillipmbailey/status/1270823321647697920

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This seat along with AK, AL, SC and TX will help Ds get to 60 votes along with GA specials

[President Johnson]

Meh, I think neither here is the best candidate possible. Cocaine Mitch is obviously going to win regardless. Just don't see how a national race with Trump on the ballot is going in the Democrats' favor here. Even if Joe Biden wins a modern-day landslide, the old turtle would still bin 15%. He probably wins by 18-20% in the end. Polling has never been that reliable here, so don't get your hopes up.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Meh, I think neither here is the best candidate possible. Cocaine Mitch is obviously going to win regardless. Just don't see how a national race with Trump on the ballot is going in the Democrats' favor here. Even if Joe Biden wins a modern-day landslide, the old turtle would still bin 15%. He probably wins by 18-20% in the end. Polling has never been that reliable here, so don't get your hopes up.

No one is getting their hoped up, but the Southern Strategy is finally being done away with, with Confederate flags being dismantled in the South. KY, MO were Confederate boarder states and if there is a landslide Galliway and McGrath can win , if Biden wins by 8, larger than the 2008 6 or landslide Obama had

2008, McConnell won by only 10 pts when Obama won the PVI, by 6, if its 8 pt PVI, McGrath will win.

McConnell won by 20 in 2014 due to it being a midterm

That's why Bullock and Bollier have a chance in red states, partisan leans arent like midterms than in Prez elections. That's why Gross can win in AK, and Dems win a Supermajority,  Begich won in 2008

[Canis]

I really like Mike and Booker I fear that them both being in the race means that Mcgrath will win the nomination not that it matters that much in kentucky anyway but if i had to choose one Id go with booker

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

Lord help me, I'm going to start volunteering for a Berniecrat next week. They're both going to lose to Turtle but Booker is better and I want McGrath banished from politics.

Welcome aboard!

No matter how long you stay, you're still welcome to stand with us.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://twitter.com/phillipmbailey/status/1270780829447458816

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1270786160806244353

The Democratic nominee against McConnell will have absolutely zero trouble raising significant money, and the national Dems know that. They're wary of swapping in Booker for other reasons.

I have some ideas, but what do you think those reasons are?

[Rookie Yinzer]

Is someone scared?

https://twitter.com/AmyMcGrathKY/status/1271465886780661760?s=20

[Pollster]

https://twitter.com/phillipmbailey/status/1270780829447458816

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1270786160806244353

The Democratic nominee against McConnell will have absolutely zero trouble raising significant money, and the national Dems know that. They're wary of swapping in Booker for other reasons.

I have some ideas, but what do you think those reasons are?

The national party will support the candidate using more moderate rhetoric 99 times out of 100 regardless of their actual platforms, due to both perceptions about electability and the belief that vocal progressive candidates will cause headaches for party leadership if they are elected. I'm sure there's also some quiet worry that Booker as a Black Democrat in 2020 has limited appeal in Kentucky.

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

What a nasty, vile person.

[Virginiá]

No one is getting their hoped up, but the Southern Strategy is finally being done away with, with Confederate flags being dismantled in the South. KY, MO were Confederate boarder states and if there is a landslide Galliway and McGrath can win , if Biden wins by 8, larger than the 2008 6 or landslide Obama had

2008, McConnell won by only 10 pts 6 pts when Obama won the PVI, by 6 7.2, if its 8 50 pt PVI, McGrath will might win.

McConnell won by 20 in 2014 due to it being a midterm

That's why Bullock and Bollier have a chance in red states, partisan leans arent like midterms than in Prez elections. That's why Gross can win in AK, and Dems win a Supermajority,  Begich won in 2008

FTFY

[YE]

No one is getting their hoped up, but the Southern Strategy is finally being done away with, with Confederate flags being dismantled in the South. KY, MO were Confederate boarder states and if there is a landslide Galliway and McGrath can win , if Biden wins by 8, larger than the 2008 6 or landslide Obama had

2008, McConnell won by only 10 pts 6 pts when Obama won the PVI, by 6 7.2, if its 8 50 pt PVI, McGrath will might win.

McConnell won by 20 in 2014 due to it being a midterm

That's why Bullock and Bollier have a chance in red states, partisan leans arent like midterms than in Prez elections. That's why Gross can win in AK, and Dems win a Supermajority,  Begich won in 2008

FTFY

You really should know better than to reply to OC.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No one is getting their hoped up, but the Southern Strategy is finally being done away with, with Confederate flags being dismantled in the South. KY, MO were Confederate boarder states and if there is a landslide Galliway and McGrath can win , if Biden wins by 8, larger than the 2008 6 or landslide Obama had

2008, McConnell won by only 10 pts 6 pts when Obama won the PVI, by 6 7.2, if its 8 50 pt PVI, McGrath will might win.

McConnell won by 20 in 2014 due to it being a midterm

That's why Bullock and Bollier have a chance in red states, partisan leans arent like midterms than in Prez elections. That's why Gross can win in AK, and Dems win a Supermajority,  Begich won in 2008

FTFY

You really should know better than to reply to OC.

Dems are leading by 9 pts in ME over Collins and Ernst is behind by 3 and GA are going to runoffs. The Rs are on the run in MT, KS and NC, Dems are up 8 seats, while KY, SC, TX and AK can clinch a 60/40 Senate and get Dems PR and DC statehood and 11 judge panel on SCOTUS,  I have my Hope's up

[RogueBeaver]

Dems say McGrath still has a yuge lead in private polling.

[Lognog]

Dems say McGrath still has a yuge lead in private polling.

I really don't think anyone outside of atlas knows who Booker is. He does not have nearly the fundraising or the name ID to mount that big of an upset

[NewYorkExpress]

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/06/13/booker-mcgrath-mcconnell-kentucky-senate-316201

Politico has an excellent profile of the Democratic Primary here. Apparently Charles Booker has momentum, endorsements from Bernie Sanders, AOC, and the two largest newspapers in Kentucky.

McGrath has $19 million on hand as of the beginning of this month, which is more than Mitch McConnell's 2014 opponent Alison Lundergan Grimes spent during her entire race at all.

I think McGrath would be the stronger candidate to face McConnell in terms of winning the race, but wouldn't it be awesome to replace Mitch with an actual progressive?

[anthonyjg]

National Democrats truly have no idea what they’re doing in red states and national progressives way-overestimate their influence in red states. Really wish Adkins had ran.

[Astatine]

Honestly, at this point I hope Mary Ann Tobin wins the Democratic primary. She won the State Auditor election in 1983 with 64 % (!) and thus she is the only one in the primary having ever won a statewide race, hell yeah, even in a landslide! Plus she has a cute dog. With Joe Biden being the oldest major party nominee ever, her progressed age (80 something? found no birth date anywhere...) is just in line with the Democratic presidential nominee. While she was serving as public servant in Kentucky, Charles Booker was crying for food in his diapers and Amy McGrath just learnt how to add numbers in elementary school. Take that!

And if she were to be nominated, national Democrats would maybe finally treat this race as what it is. A lost cause.

[DINGO Joe]

Is someone scared?

https://twitter.com/AmyMcGrathKY/status/1271465886780661760?s=20

After McGrath wins, she can hire Booker's staff and give them all that.

[DINGO Joe]

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/06/13/booker-mcgrath-mcconnell-kentucky-senate-316201

Politico has an excellent profile of the Democratic Primary here. Apparently Charles Booker has momentum, endorsements from Bernie Sanders, AOC, and the two largest newspapers in Kentucky.

McGrath has $19 million on hand as of the beginning of this month, which is more than Mitch McConnell's 2014 opponent Alison Lundergan Grimes spent during her entire race at all.

I think McGrath would be the stronger candidate to face McConnell in terms of winning the race, but wouldn't it be awesome to replace Mitch with an actual progressive?

Has there ever been a candidate with a huge bank like that lose a primary?  I know people have spent huge amounts and lost, but this is in the bank.  How would that money be disbursed if she lost (and i doubt she will)?