New Jersey legislative elections megathread (user search)
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Tekken_Guy
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« on: November 08, 2019, 08:51:38 AM »

Somerset County is blue almost single-handedly because of Franklin Township. Without it Obama would’ve lost it twice (although Hillary still would’ve narrowly carried it). Morris lacks a community that could make it blue the same way.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2019, 05:07:27 PM »

Somerset County is blue almost single-handedly because of Franklin Township. Without it Obama would’ve lost it twice (although Hillary still would’ve narrowly carried it). Morris lacks a community that could make it blue the same way.

Somerset is becoming more demographically diverse, especially in the South near Princeton. Those towns also have high academic attainment. It’s not just Franklin.

That wasn’t what I was trying to say. My point is that without Franklin Somerset would still be a swing county, although trending blue, rather than a solidly blue one by now.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2019, 06:19:53 PM »

Somerset County is blue almost single-handedly because of Franklin Township. Without it Obama would’ve lost it twice (although Hillary still would’ve narrowly carried it). Morris lacks a community that could make it blue the same way.

Democrats won the congressional vote in Morris County pretty easily last year. I don’t have the township results, but that result could indicate a potential Democratic power base

Maybe that’s because Morris County is located in a district where the GOP ran a horrible candidate and got crushed by 15 points. We still can’t see what a normal win will look like.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2019, 06:40:41 PM »

Somerset County is blue almost single-handedly because of Franklin Township. Without it Obama would’ve lost it twice (although Hillary still would’ve narrowly carried it). Morris lacks a community that could make it blue the same way.

Democrats won the congressional vote in Morris County pretty easily last year. I don’t have the township results, but that result could indicate a potential Democratic power base

Maybe that’s because Morris County is located in a district where the GOP ran a horrible candidate and got crushed by 15 points. We still can’t see what a normal win will look like.

I remember last year when our blue avatars were touting him as a great recruit and the strongest possible candidate.

Ghee would have been much stronger.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2019, 07:26:37 PM »

Wasn't Franklin voting Democratic much more often of the rest of Somerset County before the entire county became favorable to Democrats though? There's no doubt that Franklin is the center of that change, but other communities within the county are undeniably moving leftwards too though.

It was, but the town was much smaller then. The rest of the county has moved left, but hasn’t reached the point where it’s reliably blue without Franklin.
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