Hot Air has an article that discusses Trafalgar and its lead pollster,Robert Cahaly. There is a link to a podcast of an interview of Cahaly by Mike Pesca of Slate. The interview starts at 10:30
https://hotair.com/archives/allahpundit/2020/10/15/trafalgar-pollster-predict-trump-win-mid-270s/https://dcs.megaphone.fm/SLT4823442188.mp3?key=f80ad0491c349c66264324a1008bcda5&source=3Cahaly predicts Trump will win with electoral votes in the mid 270s.
He also maintains Trump is getting about 15% of the Black vote.