2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 624352 times)
OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« on: November 03, 2020, 12:25:30 AM »
It's been 4 years of horror and pain upon horror and pain. Time to bring it home. I'm not feeling optimistic - in fact, I'm nervous as hell. But let's do this!
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 11:43:39 AM »
Quote from: I will now accept my accolades on November 03, 2020, 11:43:10 AM
If Guam does swing hard to Trump, what would that signal this cycle?
Perhaps the trend that's been speculated on thus far - that the minority gap is shrinking.
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 11:49:36 AM »
Quote from: Make PA Blue Again! on November 03, 2020, 11:46:38 AM
Quote from: 86 45 on November 03, 2020, 11:43:39 AM
Quote from: I will now accept my accolades on November 03, 2020, 11:43:10 AM
If Guam does swing hard to Trump, what would that signal this cycle?
Perhaps the trend that's been speculated on thus far - that the minority gap is shrinking.

But doesn't Guam have a history of voting Republican in the past?
Not familiar with how it voted in the past but apparently it voted 70% Clinton in 2016.
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 01:56:22 PM »
Quote from: YE on November 03, 2020, 01:55:40 PM

Oof - so no NC results till 8:15 eastern?
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2020, 03:12:20 PM »
Quote from: Bootes Void on November 03, 2020, 03:10:31 PM
First batch of exit polls come at 5, so look out for that
What timezone is this?
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 05:08:20 PM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 03, 2020, 05:07:38 PM
Arizona electorate is 74% white according to MSNBC exit poll (TV).
What was it in 2016?
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2020, 06:43:25 PM »
Quote from: DaWN on November 03, 2020, 06:42:49 PM
I think we overreacted to early votes skewing some results if I'm honest. Glad we learned this lesson now and not in actually competitive states mind....
Well, yes. Regardless, these numbers are quite impressive.
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2020, 06:58:58 PM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 03, 2020, 06:58:27 PM
Who else is nervous as F*** about Florida polls closing and real results coming in in a real state?
Nah the Bluetucky brevity is all I needed.

Now I can heal. This is AMAZING
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2020, 01:44:08 AM »
COME ON GEORGIA

DO THE RIGHT THING FOR THE FIRST TIME LITERALLY EVER
Logged
OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2020, 11:45:34 AM »
We're about to see a contested election. Buckle up, everyone.
Logged
OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2020, 01:00:19 PM »
Err, are we 100% sure about Arizona here? Biden's lead has been shrinking for a while now.
Logged
OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2020, 01:03:38 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 04, 2020, 01:02:11 PM
Quote from: 86 45 on November 04, 2020, 01:00:19 PM
Err, are we 100% sure about Arizona here? Biden's lead has been shrinking for a while now.

Wasn't that bc E-day vote was coming in?
Hopefully. But if the remaining ballots are E-day as well we're in trouble.
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2020, 01:33:35 PM »
Hmm, according to NYT there are over 200k ballots left in Georgia.

To overcome Trump's 87k vote lead, Biden needs around 72% of the vote.

This could very well happen, folks.
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2020, 01:34:34 PM »
Quote from: Beida on November 04, 2020, 01:34:13 PM
Quote from: 86 45 on November 04, 2020, 01:33:35 PM
Hmm, according to NYT there are over 200k ballots left in Georgia.

To overcome Trump's 87k vote lead, Biden needs around 72% of the vote.

This could very well happen, folks.

Do we have a time we should expect the rest of GA in?
I think they said they'd be done counting today.
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2020, 07:35:41 PM »
Looks like Perdue is falling below 50% (need an >0.6% margin shift to Dems). To flip Georgia presidentially, we need a 1% margin shift to Dems. Looking good!
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2020, 08:24:21 PM »
WOW - Kent County flipped!

Biden up 2 in Michigan Purple heart
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #16 on: November 04, 2020, 10:48:20 PM »
Quote from: philly09 on November 04, 2020, 10:46:44 PM
116-117k ballots are outstanding in NC, per CBS.
Wait, so there's a chance?
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #17 on: November 04, 2020, 11:20:11 PM »
Quote from: Kuumo on November 04, 2020, 11:19:20 PM
Quote from: philly09 on November 04, 2020, 11:16:16 PM
Anybody know what happened with Will Hurd's seat in TX?

Probably something similar to those weird pro-Trump swings in the Rio Grande Valley. The Republican candidate in TX-23 is even a Hispanic male.
Yup. Tony Gonzalez (i think his name is) won by 3 points.
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #18 on: November 04, 2020, 11:22:52 PM »
Quote from: politics_king on November 04, 2020, 11:21:41 PM
Quote from: Keep The Faith! on November 04, 2020, 11:20:11 PM
Quote from: Kuumo on November 04, 2020, 11:19:20 PM
Quote from: philly09 on November 04, 2020, 11:16:16 PM
Anybody know what happened with Will Hurd's seat in TX?

Probably something similar to those weird pro-Trump swings in the Rio Grande Valley. The Republican candidate in TX-23 is even a Hispanic male.
Yup. Tony Gonzalez (i think his name is) won by 3 points.

I read that and thought you were talking about the Football Player lol
Quote from: gardenofoden on November 04, 2020, 11:21:26 PM
Quote from: Keep The Faith! on November 04, 2020, 11:20:11 PM
Quote from: Kuumo on November 04, 2020, 11:19:20 PM
Quote from: philly09 on November 04, 2020, 11:16:16 PM
Anybody know what happened with Will Hurd's seat in TX?

Probably something similar to those weird pro-Trump swings in the Rio Grande Valley. The Republican candidate in TX-23 is even a Hispanic male.
Yup. Tony Gonzalez (i think his name is) won by 3 points.
Did you know that he used to play basketball?
Might have misremembered the name lol

Point still stands.
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #19 on: November 04, 2020, 11:38:36 PM »
Quote from: EliteLX on November 04, 2020, 11:37:41 PM
Georgia margin now down to 12k.

It's over, if you're reading with 0.0001% glimpse of concern or hope. It's over. Donald Trump lost lol
WHERE
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #20 on: November 04, 2020, 11:49:49 PM »
Quote from: forsythvoter on November 04, 2020, 11:48:55 PM
Fulton just released another batch of absentees. It will go down to 12K once the latest Fulton absentees are included.

Quote from: Party Advisor on November 04, 2020, 11:47:53 PM
Every election site I have open shows Trump ahead in Georgia with 29-30k ahead.

Where does the 12k number come from?

If true, that's pretty much the ball game. ATLANTA JOE!
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #21 on: November 05, 2020, 01:16:39 AM »
Quote from: gf20202 on November 05, 2020, 01:15:55 AM
Probably doesn't include Fulton net of 16k for Biden because the Fulton website uploaders went home for the night.
they did

WHAT
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #22 on: November 05, 2020, 02:41:44 AM »
Quote from: Pyro on November 05, 2020, 02:40:10 AM
Per CNN, 62K new Maricopa ballot count.

Biden: 912,585, 51%
Trump: 838,071, 47%
is this good?
Logged
OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #23 on: November 05, 2020, 11:53:10 AM »
Hold up, GA just went up to 98% on NYT. Are we good there?
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OBD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« Reply #24 on: November 05, 2020, 12:06:40 PM »
Sucks to suck.
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