Rate NM-Sen and VA-Sen (Spring 2019) (user search)
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  Rate NM-Sen and VA-Sen (Spring 2019) (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Rate New Mexico and Virginia's 2020 Senate races
#1
NM: Safe R		  
#2
NM: Likely R		  
#3
NM: Lean R		  
#4
NM: Tilt R		  
#5
NM: Tilt D		  
#6
NM: Lean D		  
#7
NM: Likely D		  
#8
NM: Safe D		  
#9
VA: Safe R		  
#10
VA: Likely R		  
#11
VA: Lean R		  
#12
VA: Tilt R		  
#13
VA: Tilt D		  
#14
VA: Lean D		  
#15
VA: Likely D		  
#16
VA: Safe D		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 80

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Rate NM-Sen and VA-Sen (Spring 2019)  (Read 1924 times)
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,275


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« on: May 03, 2019, 04:29:54 AM »
NM : Likely D if R don't field a candidate and let Johnson run unopposed against the D candidate. Otherwise Safe D.

VA : Safe D. Warner wins 55/43
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,275


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« Reply #1 on: May 05, 2019, 07:57:15 AM »

No, they are not. VA is unwinnable for us under normal circunstances, NM is gone too
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,275


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« Reply #2 on: May 05, 2019, 10:12:17 AM »
Quote from: SirWoodbury on May 05, 2019, 08:39:42 AM
Quote from: Frenchrepublican on May 05, 2019, 07:57:15 AM

No, they are not. VA is unwinnable for us under normal circunstances, NM is gone too
Not if Trump appeals to the NOVA elites, and that is a possibility if the democratic nominee gets pushed to the far-left on some issues. If this scenario were to happen, the map could looks something like this:

And this too:


Loudoun is gone. Biden will carry the county 61/38 and Warner will win it easily
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,275


P P P
« Reply #3 on: May 05, 2019, 10:28:22 AM »
Quote from: KaiserDave on May 05, 2019, 10:20:22 AM
But I thought #moderate voters in Loudon would oppose Bernie Sanders because he's a #socialist with #extreme policies. Loudon is Lean R with Bernie, obviously.

If I'm remember well Prince William County has actually a DSA-endorsed state legislator.
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